Anastasia Kulikova vs Michelle Dzjachangirova
UTR PTT Arnhem Women 01 | Hard |
29 Dic 2025, 12:00
29 Dic 2025, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Kulikova
Anastasia …: 71,0%
Michelle …: 29,0%
¿Por qué Anastasia Kulikova?
UTR 11,03 vs 9,49
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anastasia … | Michelle … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 0,99 | 7,60 | 101,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,41 | 3,45 | 71,0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasia Kulikova
Ranking
#497
UTR Rating
11,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#478
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
5/10 = 50,0%
Michelle Dzjachangirova
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1269
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0060 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0060 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 105,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 321,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,9013 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 8,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 55,7500 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 61,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 61,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 50,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 56,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,2500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,3300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 65,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7261 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,2257 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1280 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4970 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3565 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20596
API ID
15278462
Gamdom ID
555683
Torneo
UTR PTT Arnhem Women 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20596,
"api_id": 15278462,
"gamdom_id": 555683,
"player1": "Anastasia Kulikova",
"player2": "Michelle Dzjachangirova",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Arnhem Women 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-29T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 0.99,
"p2": 7.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 18.67
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7099,
"prob_p2": 0.2901,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7099,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 497,
"utr_singles": 11.03,
"utr_ranking": 478,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.49,
"utr_ranking": 1269,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.03,
"ranking": 478,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.49,
"ranking": 1269,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.35647058823529404,
"utr_p2": 0.35647058823529404,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0060362173038229,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 105,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 50.9,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 37.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 321,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.006018072325562945,
"rank_advantage": 3,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 37.5,
"bp_converted_diff": 56.1,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 55.75,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.25,
"combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 61.6,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.726053877604942,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.22567771220861044,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.61904761904762,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 61.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.329999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 65,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.128,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.497,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.9012698412698408,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}