Maya Joint vs Solana Sierra
Merida | Hard | Qualification Final
23 Feb 2025, 17:00
23 Feb 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maya … | Solana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maya Joint
Ranking
#32
UTR Rating
12.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#56
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
44/72 = 61.1%
Solana Sierra
Ranking
#66
UTR Rating
12.04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Hard
12/25 = 48.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 34.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.0625 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.7239 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 561.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 32.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 14.8279 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11.2296 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2.8800 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61.1915 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46.3636 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60.5263 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48.2759 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 72.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.5980 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0897 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.0330 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4.8078 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5.8859 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.1264 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.4359 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14.9564 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.5137 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10.7342 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0779 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0024 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 14.8279 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4753 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.2381 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
2062
API ID
13520538
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Merida
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2062,
"api_id": 13520538,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maya Joint",
"player2": "Solana Sierra",
"tournament": "Merida",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-02-23T17:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 32,
"utr_singles": 12.19,
"utr_ranking": 56,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 44,
"wr_surface_total": 72,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 66,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.19,
"ranking": 56,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 92,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.0625,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.723918839226699,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 561,
"best_rank_diff": 32,
"surface_wr_diff": 14.827852998065765,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.229582577132488,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.88,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.191489361702125,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.36363636363636,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.526315789473685,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.275862068965516,
"p1_surface_matches": 72,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2222222222222222,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.5979781044487424,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.08973926499032103,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.032983365570594,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.807818181818199,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.885855319148938,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1263713733075433,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.4210854715202004e-14,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4358974358974359,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.956428381001501,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.513677840195722,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.734162130583897,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0779148936170212,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0023636363636363455,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 14.827852998065765,
"utr_diff": 0.15000000000000036,
"utr_p1": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_advantage": 1.2381345439537794,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}