Alexia Harmon vs Hanna Chang
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19 | Hard |
28 Dic 2025, 23:00
28 Dic 2025, 23:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hanna Chang
Alexia …: 11,7%
Hanna …: 88,3%
¿Por qué Hanna Chang?
UTR 10,00 vs 11,30
(-1,26)
— Ligera ventaja
Alexia …
W31-L11
74% WR
vs UTR 9,4
W6
Hanna …
Sin datos
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexia … | Hanna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 5,50 | 1,13 | 18,2% |
| Gamdom | 5,78 | 1,04 | 17,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 8,53 | 1,13 | 11,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexia …: -5,3%
Hanna …: +5,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexia Harmon
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1354
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Hanna Chang
Ranking
#324
UTR Rating
11,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#356
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
1/7 = 14,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alexia Harmon
Record 2025
31W - 11L (74%)
Racha
6W
UTR Oponentes
9,4
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Hanna Chang
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -182,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6360 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4526 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -199,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -331,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,7407 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 18,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 27,7778 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -47,1621 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -58,8600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -46,2500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -50,5500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -28,4100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,9286 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,8010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 61,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,0413 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,4046 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3180 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4963 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3835 | |
| utr_advantage | -11,8532 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20647
API ID
15270899
Gamdom ID
551921
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20647,
"api_id": 15270899,
"gamdom_id": 551921,
"player1": "Alexia Harmon",
"player2": "Hanna Chang",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-28T19:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 5.5,
"p2": 1.125
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.78,
"p2": 1.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 6.92,
"p2": 1.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1173,
"prob_p2": 0.8827,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8827,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 1354,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 31,
"utr_v4_losses": 11,
"utr_v4_wr": 73.80952380952381,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.37,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Raphaelle Leroux"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Delilah Rizvi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.08,
"opponent_name": "Jordyn McBride"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Sofia Pizzoni"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Martyna Piechowicz"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:12.046654+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 324,
"utr_singles": 11.3,
"utr_ranking": 356,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 14.285714285714285,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 1354,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.3,
"ranking": 356,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.38352941176470584,
"utr_diff": -1.2599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 0.636,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -199,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -50.55,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.3,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 18.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": -11.853245531514581,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -331,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4525567156420149,
"rank_advantage": -182,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": -28.409999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": -47.16214285714285,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.9285714285714284,
"combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -58.85999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.041296875701317,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.404624719065989,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 27.77777777777778,
"second_serve_won_diff": -46.25,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.801000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.31799999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.49628571428571433,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.74074074074074,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}