Daria Saville vs Varvara Lepchenko
Merida | Hard | Qualification Final
23 Feb 2025, 18:40
23 Feb 2025, 18:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Varvara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Saville
Ranking
#200
UTR Rating
11.53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#232
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
20/40 = 50.0%
Varvara Lepchenko
Ranking
#143
UTR Rating
11.58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#214
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
31/55 = 56.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -57.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.7150 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.3355 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -143.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.2857 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5.9322 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7273 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47.7143 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55.9322 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 55.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.7228 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.0600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.1045 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7.6885 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.2270 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.4307 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -14.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6.7260 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6308 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0741 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.3487 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.8268 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.0958 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0370 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0799 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4212 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.4327 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2065
API ID
13520634
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Merida
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2065,
"api_id": 13520634,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daria Saville",
"player2": "Varvara Lepchenko",
"tournament": "Merida",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-02-23T18:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 200,
"utr_singles": 11.53,
"utr_ranking": 232,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 143,
"utr_singles": 11.58,
"utr_ranking": 214,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.36363636363636,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.53,
"ranking": 232,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.58,
"ranking": 214,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -57,
"rank_ratio": 0.715,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.33547273628812946,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -143,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.2857142857142918,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.932203389830505,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7272727272727273,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.71428571428571,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.932203389830505,
"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 55,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.7227785714285773,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.0600000000000023,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1045000000000016,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.688500000000005,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.227000000000004,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4307142857142856,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -14.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.725999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6307692307692307,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0740740740740742,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.348693334993706,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.826785835992548,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.09584935322518189,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03700000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07985714285714296,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.05000000000000071,
"utr_p1": 0.41529411764705876,
"utr_p2": 0.4211764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -0.4327131112072757,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}