Rebecca Marino vs Heather Watson
Austin | Hard | Qualification Round 1
23 Feb 2025, 16:30
23 Feb 2025, 16:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rebecca … | Heather … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebecca Marino
Ranking
#178
UTR Rating
11.62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#198
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (8p)
WR Hard
31/55 = 56.4%
Heather Watson
Ranking
#267
UTR Rating
11.68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#185
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 89.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.4055 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 126.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12.6503 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13.2828 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.8966 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51.4382 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 38.7879 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55.9322 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42.4242 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 55.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1273 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13.5191 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5.7606 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.0061 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6.1058 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6.2529 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4.8685 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 35.6390 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 15.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 22.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.5517 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5882 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.2104 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.6265 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5.1293 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0746 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0231 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 12.6503 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4259 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4329 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.5150 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2068
API ID
13515582
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Austin
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2068,
"api_id": 13515582,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Rebecca Marino",
"player2": "Heather Watson",
"tournament": "Austin",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-02-23T16:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 178,
"utr_singles": 11.62,
"utr_ranking": 198,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.36363636363636,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 267,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 185,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.62,
"ranking": 198,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.68,
"ranking": 185,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.5,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4054651081081644,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 126,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.650293255131963,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.282828282828282,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.896551724137931,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.43817204301075,
"surface_wr_p2": 38.78787878787879,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.932203389830505,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.42424242424242,
"p1_surface_matches": 55,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.12727272727272726,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.51911143695014,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.760645161290327,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.006129032258059,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.105806451612899,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.252903225806449,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.868475073313783,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"momentum_diff": 49.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 35.638999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 15,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5517241379310345,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5882352941176471,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.210420811547723,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.626478622779183,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.129252522292064,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07461827956989242,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.023121212121212154,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 12.650293255131963,
"utr_diff": -0.0600000000000005,
"utr_p1": 0.4258823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.4329411764705882,
"utr_advantage": -0.5150214592274721,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}