Karl Kazuma Lee vs Ryotaro Matsumura
UTR PTT Saitama Men 05 | Hard | Final
28 Dic 2025, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Karl Kazuma Lee
Karl …: 50,9% Ryotaro …: 49,1%
¿Por qué Karl Kazuma Lee?
UTR 13,02 vs 13,13 (+0,09) — Niveles similares
Karl …
W45-L18
71% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L1
Ryotaro …
W72-L16
82% WR
vs UTR 12,0
W6
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Karl … Ryotaro … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 2,25 1,47 44,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,97 2,04 50,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Karl …: +8,5% Ryotaro …: -8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karl Kazuma Lee
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #1101
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Ryotaro Matsumura
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #986
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Karl Kazuma Lee
Record 2025 45W - 18L (71%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Ryotaro Matsumura
Record 2025 72W - 16L (82%)
Racha 6W
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Ryotaro Matsumura en racha: 6 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 10,0000
match_load_diff -6,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,8700
serve_consistency_p2 5,0532
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0900
utr_p1 0,5988
utr_p2 0,5882
utr_advantage 0,6899
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20686
API ID 15280772
Gamdom ID 556054
Torneo UTR PTT Saitama Men 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20686,
    "api_id": 15280772,
    "gamdom_id": 556054,
    "player1": "Karl Kazuma Lee",
    "player2": "Ryotaro Matsumura",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Men 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-28T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.47
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.34,
      "p2": 1.54
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5086,
    "prob_p2": 0.4914,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5086,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.02,
      "utr_ranking": 1101,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 45,
      "utr_v4_losses": 18,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.31,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.47,
          "opponent_name": "Maciej Rajski"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alessandro Ventre"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "ALBERTO PEREZ MELLADO"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.02,
          "opponent_name": "Stefan Cooper"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Antreas Djakouris"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:05.792760+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.13,
      "utr_ranking": 986,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 72,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 81.81818181818183,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.95,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "yuga tashiro"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kotaro Mochizuki"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "takashi yoshida"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jacob Kailiang Shen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tokitaka Ito"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:25.548870+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.02,
      "ranking": 1101,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.13,
      "ranking": 986,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5988235294117646,
    "utr_p2": 0.5882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 10,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.68991950939057,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -6,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.8699559895295637,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.053239325870132,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}