Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin vs Brody Nejedly Krall
UTR PTT Waco Men 06 | Hard |
31 Dic 2025, 01:50
31 Dic 2025, 01:50
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Joao …: 72,9%
Brody …: 27,1%
¿Por qué Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin?
UTR 12,97 vs 11,00
(+1,91)
— Ligera ventaja
Joao …
W42-L25
63% WR
vs UTR 12,4
L3
Brody …
W44-L54
45% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L6
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joao … | Brody … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,33 | 83,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,18 | 3,77 | 84,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,37 | 3,68 | 72,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Joao …: -5,5%
Brody …: +5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1127
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Brody Nejedly Krall
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#4841
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Record 2025
42W - 25L (63%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
12,4
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
W
Brody Nejedly Krall
Record 2025
44W - 54L (45%)
Racha
6L
UTR Oponentes
11,7
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,4 vs 11,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -25,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 274,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,9100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 15,9766 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20828
API ID
15278602
Gamdom ID
555807
Torneo
UTR PTT Waco Men 06
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20828,
"api_id": 15278602,
"gamdom_id": 555807,
"player1": "Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin",
"player2": "Brody Nejedly Krall",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Waco Men 06",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-30T21:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 3.77
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 4.17
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7286,
"prob_p2": 0.2714,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7286,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.97,
"utr_ranking": 1127,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 42,
"utr_v4_losses": 25,
"utr_v4_wr": 62.68656716417911,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.43,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.32,
"opponent_name": "Mathis Bondaz"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.73,
"opponent_name": "Donald Nikolas Stoot"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.83,
"opponent_name": "Alex Martinez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.8,
"opponent_name": "Ian Bracks"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.56,
"opponent_name": "Krish Arora"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.122968+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 4841,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 44,
"utr_v4_losses": 54,
"utr_v4_wr": 44.89795918367347,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.73,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Pavan Uppu"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Sean Grosman"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Evan Sharygin"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.51,
"opponent_name": "Ilias Hirani Worthington"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.19,
"opponent_name": "Derek Pham"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:41.617685+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.97,
"ranking": 1127,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 4841,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5776470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 1.9100000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 15.976578837306569,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -25.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 274,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}