Hanna Chang vs Tianmei Wang
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19 | Hard | Semifinals
02 Ene 2026, 11:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hanna Chang
Hanna …: 80,5% Tianmei …: 19,5%
¿Por qué Hanna Chang?
UTR 11,30 vs 10,65 (+0,60) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hanna … Tianmei … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,38 2,60 72,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,14 80,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Hanna …: +16,0% Tianmei …: -16,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hanna Chang
Ranking #324
UTR Rating 11,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #356
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 1/7 = 14,3%
Tianmei Wang
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,65 General
UTR Ranking #849
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 182,0000
rank_ratio 1,5723
log_rank_ratio 0,4526
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 199,0000
best_rank_diff 331,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,7407
surface_matches_ratio 14,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 18,5714
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 27,7778
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5714
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3933
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 47,1621
first_serve_won_diff 58,8600
second_serve_won_diff 46,2500
bp_saved_diff 50,5500
bp_converted_diff 28,4100
aces_per_match_diff 1,9286
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 69,3878
momentum_diff 20,6122
weighted_momentum_diff 15,5582
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,9570
serve_consistency_p2 19,9226
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,4046
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4963
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3180
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,6000
utr_p1 0,3835
utr_p2 0,3129
utr_advantage 5,4745
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20909
API ID 15298449
Gamdom ID 563087
Torneo UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20909,
    "api_id": 15298449,
    "gamdom_id": 563087,
    "player1": "Hanna Chang",
    "player2": "Tianmei Wang",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-02T07:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.38,
      "p2": 2.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.74
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8054,
    "prob_p2": 0.1946,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8054,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 324,
      "utr_singles": 11.3,
      "utr_ranking": 356,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 14.285714285714285,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.65,
      "utr_ranking": 849,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.3,
      "ranking": 356,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.65,
      "ranking": 849,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.38352941176470584,
    "utr_p2": 0.3129411764705883,
    "utr_diff": 0.5999999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5723270440251573,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 69.38775510204083,
    "points_diff": 199,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 50.55,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.15000000000000002,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 20.612244897959158,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 18.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.474452554744522,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 331,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.452556715642015,
    "rank_advantage": 182,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 18.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": 28.409999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 47.16214285714285,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.9285714285714284,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 58.85999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5714285714285714,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.957027056501438,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 19.922599021235833,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.404624719065993,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 27.77777777777778,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 46.25,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 14.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.558183673469372,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4962857142857142,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.31800000000000006,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.74074074074074,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}