Hanna Chang vs Tianmei Wang
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19 | Hard | Semifinals
02 Ene 2026, 11:15
02 Ene 2026, 11:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hanna Chang
Hanna …: 80,5%
Tianmei …: 19,5%
¿Por qué Hanna Chang?
UTR 11,30 vs 10,65
(+0,60)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hanna … | Tianmei … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,38 | 2,60 | 72,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,24 | 5,14 | 80,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hanna …: +16,0%
Tianmei …: -16,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hanna Chang
Ranking
#324
UTR Rating
11,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#356
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
1/7 = 14,3%
Tianmei Wang
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,65 General
UTR Ranking
#849
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 182,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5723 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4526 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 199,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 331,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,7407 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 14,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 18,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 27,7778 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,5714 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 47,1621 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 58,8600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 46,2500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 50,5500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 28,4100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,9286 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 69,3878 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,6122 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,5582 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,9570 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 19,9226 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,4046 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4963 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3180 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3129 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,4745 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20909
API ID
15298449
Gamdom ID
563087
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20909,
"api_id": 15298449,
"gamdom_id": 563087,
"player1": "Hanna Chang",
"player2": "Tianmei Wang",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-02T07:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.38,
"p2": 2.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.74
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8054,
"prob_p2": 0.1946,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8054,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 324,
"utr_singles": 11.3,
"utr_ranking": 356,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 14.285714285714285,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.65,
"utr_ranking": 849,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.3,
"ranking": 356,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.65,
"ranking": 849,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.38352941176470584,
"utr_p2": 0.3129411764705883,
"utr_diff": 0.5999999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.5723270440251573,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 69.38775510204083,
"points_diff": 199,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 50.55,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.15000000000000002,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 20.612244897959158,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 18.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 5.474452554744522,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 331,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.452556715642015,
"rank_advantage": 182,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 18.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": 28.409999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 47.16214285714285,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.9285714285714284,
"combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 58.85999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5714285714285714,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.957027056501438,
"serve_consistency_p2": 19.922599021235833,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.404624719065993,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 27.77777777777778,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 46.25,
"surface_matches_ratio": 14.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.558183673469372,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4962857142857142,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.31800000000000006,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.74074074074074,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}