Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Mingyue Deng
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19 | Hard | Semifinals
02 Ene 2026, 09:30
02 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Sonja …: 68,3%
Mingyue …: 31,7%
¿Por qué Sonja Zhiyenbayeva?
UTR 10,57 vs 9,00
(+1,47)
— Ligera ventaja
Sonja …
Sin datos
Mingyue …
W52-L40
57% WR
vs UTR 8,7
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sonja … | Mingyue … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,46 | 3,16 | 68,3% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,57 General
UTR Ranking
#977
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Mingyue Deng
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 Junior
UTR Ranking
#565
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Sin datos UTR v4
Mingyue Deng
Record 2025
52W - 40L (57%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
8,7
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 79,5918 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,4082 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,8061 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,9475 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 19,3089 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,4700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_advantage | 15,1002 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20912
API ID
15298448
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20912,
"api_id": 15298448,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sonja Zhiyenbayeva",
"player2": "Mingyue Deng",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-02T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6831,
"prob_p2": 0.3169,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6831,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.57,
"utr_ranking": 977,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 565,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 52,
"utr_v4_losses": 40,
"utr_v4_wr": 56.52173913043478,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.71,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 5.0,
"opponent_name": "Niyuan Wu"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Sylvana Jalbert"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Genevieve Hayden"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Kasia Chen"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Hadli Sefcik"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:51.743923+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.57,
"ranking": 977,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 565,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.2905882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_diff": 1.4700000000000006,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -10.408163265306115,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 15.10015408320494,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.947537406253165,
"serve_consistency_p2": 19.30888853766083,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.806122448979593,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}