Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Mingyue Deng
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19 | Hard | Semifinals
02 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Sonja …: 68,3% Mingyue …: 31,7%
¿Por qué Sonja Zhiyenbayeva?
UTR 10,57 vs 9,00 (+1,47) — Ligera ventaja
Sonja …
Sin datos
Mingyue …
W52-L40
57% WR
vs UTR 8,7
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sonja … Mingyue … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,46 3,16 68,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,57 General
UTR Ranking #977
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Mingyue Deng
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #565
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Sin datos UTR v4
Mingyue Deng
Record 2025 52W - 40L (57%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 8,7
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1500
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 79,5918
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -10,4082
weighted_momentum_diff -7,8061
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,9475
serve_consistency_p2 19,3089
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,4700
utr_p1 0,2906
utr_p2 0,1176
utr_advantage 15,1002
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20912
API ID 15298448
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20912,
    "api_id": 15298448,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sonja Zhiyenbayeva",
    "player2": "Mingyue Deng",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-02T05:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6831,
    "prob_p2": 0.3169,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6831,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.57,
      "utr_ranking": 977,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 565,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 52,
      "utr_v4_losses": 40,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.52173913043478,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.71,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 5.0,
          "opponent_name": "Niyuan Wu"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sylvana Jalbert"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Genevieve Hayden"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kasia Chen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Hadli Sefcik"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:51.743923+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.57,
      "ranking": 977,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 565,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.2905882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 1.4700000000000006,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -10.408163265306115,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 15.10015408320494,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.947537406253165,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 19.30888853766083,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.806122448979593,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}