Anna Bondar vs Anhelina Kalinina
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anhelina Kalinina
Anna …: 34,7% Anhelina …: 65,3%
¿Por qué Anhelina Kalinina?
UTR 12,04 vs 12,11 (-0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna … Anhelina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
Gamdom 2,00 1,59 50,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,88 1,53 34,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna …: +1,0% Anhelina …: -1,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Bondar
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking #179
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #77
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/21 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 53,0000
rank_ratio 1,7162
log_rank_ratio 0,5401
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 313,0000
best_rank_diff -25,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,4762
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,6000
surface_matches_ratio 1,4286
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,6667
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,0588
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,0000
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,9487
first_serve_won_diff 4,3905
second_serve_won_diff 0,5114
bp_saved_diff 1,3514
bp_converted_diff -6,8990
aces_per_match_diff 2,3000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -62,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -44,0210
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 63,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 18,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5385
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 6,3502
serve_consistency_p2 4,8708
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5,6584
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0863
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1244
elite_surface_amplifier -10,4762
UTR
utr_diff -0,1800
utr_p1 0,4635
utr_p2 0,4847
utr_advantage -1,4963
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20926
API ID 15302980
Gamdom ID 566731
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20926,
    "api_id": 15302980,
    "gamdom_id": 566731,
    "player1": "Anna Bondar",
    "player2": "Anhelina Kalinina",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-02T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.59
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.01,
      "p2": 1.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3472,
    "prob_p2": 0.6528,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6528,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 179,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 77,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 77,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4635294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.4847058823529411,
    "utr_diff": -0.17999999999999972,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7162162162162162,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 313,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.3514285714285634,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -61.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": -1.4962593516209453,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -25,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5401219932544216,
    "rank_advantage": 53,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.476190476190474,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.8990476190476215,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.948666666666668,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6578947368421053,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.3000000000000003,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.390476190476193,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.350225885076762,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.870758587964521,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.658420881712987,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.00000000000001,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.5114285714285742,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4285714285714286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -44.021,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -10.476190476190474,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 63,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08633333333333332,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12442857142857133,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.600000000000009,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}