Antonia Ružić vs Maria Timofeeva
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 04:00
02 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Antonia Ružić
Antonia …: 80,1%
Maria …: 19,9%
¿Por qué Antonia Ružić?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Antonia … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,25 | 5,02 | 80,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Antonia …: +22,4%
Maria …: -22,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Antonia Ružić
Ranking
#65
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Maria Timofeeva
Ranking
#138
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#129
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
1/5 = 20,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 73,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7143 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 412,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 36,2500 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,1852 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 6,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 33,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,9256 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,8875 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,4813 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,5469 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,5406 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5187 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 35,5760 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 64,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,6082 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7942 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 25,8952 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0105 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2270 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 36,2500 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20927
API ID
15302982
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20927,
"api_id": 15302982,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Antonia Ru\u017ei\u0107",
"player2": "Maria Timofeeva",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-02T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 2.8
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8006,
"prob_p2": 0.1994,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8006,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 138,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 129,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 20.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.9,
"ranking": 129,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 2.0428571428571427,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": 412,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.546875,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 42.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 20.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 24,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7143493882105482,
"rank_advantage": 73,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 36.25,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.540625000000006,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.9256250000000037,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5187499999999998,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.887500000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.608176809078289,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.794219777062857,
"surface_rank_synergy": 25.89516532263237,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.4812500000000028,
"surface_matches_ratio": 6.4,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 35.57599999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 36.25,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 64,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.010499999999999954,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.22700000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.18518518518519,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}