Antonia Ružić vs Maria Timofeeva
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Antonia Ružić
Antonia …: 80,1% Maria …: 19,9%
¿Por qué Antonia Ružić?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Antonia … Maria … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,25 5,02 80,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Antonia …: +22,4% Maria …: -22,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Antonia Ružić
Ranking #65
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Maria Timofeeva
Ranking #138
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #129
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 1/5 = 20,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 73,0000
rank_ratio 2,0429
log_rank_ratio 0,7143
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 412,0000
best_rank_diff 24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 36,2500
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,1852
surface_matches_ratio 6,4000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,2500
surface_wr_p2 20,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,5556
surface_wr_p2_stable 33,3333
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1250
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,9256
first_serve_won_diff 4,8875
second_serve_won_diff 1,4813
bp_saved_diff 7,5469
bp_converted_diff 5,5406
aces_per_match_diff 0,5187
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 35,5760
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 20,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 64,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5625
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,6082
serve_consistency_p2 8,7942
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 25,8952
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0105
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2270
elite_surface_amplifier 36,2500
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4588
utr_p2 0,4588
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20927
API ID 15302982
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20927,
    "api_id": 15302982,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Antonia Ru\u017ei\u0107",
    "player2": "Maria Timofeeva",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-02T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 2.8
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8006,
    "prob_p2": 0.1994,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8006,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 65,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 138,
      "utr_singles": 11.9,
      "utr_ranking": 129,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 20.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.9,
      "ranking": 129,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
    "utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 2.0428571428571427,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 412,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.546875,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2": 20.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 24,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7143493882105482,
    "rank_advantage": 73,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 36.25,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.540625000000006,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.9256250000000037,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5625,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5187499999999998,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.887500000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.608176809078289,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.794219777062857,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 25.89516532263237,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4812500000000028,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 6.4,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 35.57599999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 36.25,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 64,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.010499999999999954,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.22700000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.18518518518519,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}