Astra Sharma vs Kamilla Rakhimova
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kamilla Rakhimova
Astra …: 24,9% Kamilla …: 75,1%
¿Por qué Kamilla Rakhimova?
UTR 11,70 vs 12,05 (-0,26) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Astra … Kamilla … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,25 26,7%
Gamdom 3,50 1,26 28,6%
IA Fair Odds 4,02 1,33 24,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Astra …: -0,1% Kamilla …: +0,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Astra Sharma
Ranking #157
UTR Rating 11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #183
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 4/14 = 28,6%
Kamilla Rakhimova
Ranking #93
UTR Rating 12,05 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/37 = 45,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -63,0000
rank_ratio 0,6063
log_rank_ratio -0,5005
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -351,0000
best_rank_diff -24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -17,3745
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,6694
surface_matches_ratio 0,3784
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 28,5714
surface_wr_p2 45,9459
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,3415
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,2776
first_serve_won_diff 5,1243
second_serve_won_diff 1,4838
bp_saved_diff -1,1216
bp_converted_diff -3,9595
aces_per_match_diff 1,1351
Forma
last5_wr_diff -1,0000
last3_wr_diff -1,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -100,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -72,3300
current_streak_diff -10,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 74,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 25,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5253
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 8,2352
serve_consistency_p2 8,7224
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,6953
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1513
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1035
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2600
utr_p1 0,4424
utr_p2 0,4729
utr_advantage -2,1867
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20928
API ID 15302984
Gamdom ID 564798
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20928,
    "api_id": 15302984,
    "gamdom_id": 564798,
    "player1": "Astra Sharma",
    "player2": "Kamilla Rakhimova",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-02T01:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.5,
      "p2": 1.26
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.96,
      "p2": 1.23
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2487,
    "prob_p2": 0.7513,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7513,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 157,
      "utr_singles": 11.7,
      "utr_ranking": 183,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 93,
      "utr_singles": 12.05,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.94594594594595,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.7,
      "ranking": 183,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.05,
      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.44235294117647056,
    "utr_p2": 0.4729411764705882,
    "utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 0.60625,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -351,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.121621621621621,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -99.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 45.94594594594595,
    "utr_advantage": -2.1867115222876348,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -24,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5004628367304442,
    "rank_advantage": -63,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -17.37451737451738,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.9594594594594597,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.277567567567566,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5252525252525253,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.135135135135135,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -10,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.12432432432432,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.235155490880308,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.722430594358313,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.695300252073359,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.34146341463415,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4837837837837853,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3783783783783784,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -72.33,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 74,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 25,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.15128571428571436,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10354054054054046,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.669376693766944,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}