Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Alana Subasic
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 08:30
02 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Elena-Gabriela …: 77,4%
Alana …: 22,6%
¿Por qué Elena-Gabriela Ruse?
UTR 12,16 vs 10,41
(+1,80)
— Ligera ventaja
Elena-Gabriela …
Sin datos
Alana …
W41-L28
59% WR
vs UTR 10,0
L4
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elena-Gabriela … | Alana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,05 | 11,00 | 95,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,02 | 9,80 | 98,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,29 | 4,42 | 77,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Elena-Gabriela …: -13,9%
Alana …: +13,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Ranking
#79
UTR Rating
12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#63
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
12/24 = 50,0%
Alana Subasic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#848
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Sin datos UTR v4
Alana Subasic
Record 2025
41W - 28L (59%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
10,0
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 412,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,6818 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,7373 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 825,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 449,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,8714 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 8,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 36,1905 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5700 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,1942 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 13,0167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -17,9917 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,9625 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,2917 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,0417 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,2222 | |
| momentum_diff | 15,7778 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,9667 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 359,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6154 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,5584 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0543 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 28,9545 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4120 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2453 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 33,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,8000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2765 | |
| utr_advantage | 16,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20929
API ID
15302978
Gamdom ID
564796
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20929,
"api_id": 15302978,
"gamdom_id": 564796,
"player1": "Elena-Gabriela Ruse",
"player2": "Alana Subasic",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-02T04:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 11.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 9.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.03,
"p2": 10.86
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7736,
"prob_p2": 0.2264,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7736,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 79,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 63,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.41,
"utr_ranking": 848,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 41,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 59.42028985507246,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.97,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.95,
"opponent_name": "Ikumi Yamazaki"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.81,
"opponent_name": "Elena Micic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.37,
"opponent_name": "Taylah Preston"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.11,
"opponent_name": "Sarah Rokusek"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Anastasia Necula"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.255137+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.16,
"ranking": 63,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.41,
"ranking": 848,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.2764705882352941,
"utr_diff": 1.8000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 5.681818181818182,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.222222222222225,
"points_diff": 825,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.9625000000000057,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.06666666666666671,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 15.777777777777775,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 16.000000000000007,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 449,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.7372712839439852,
"rank_advantage": 412,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.2916666666666572,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.194166666666675,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.0416666666666665,
"combined_confidence": 0.5700000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 13.016666666666673,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.558420018219698,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.054287294266278,
"surface_rank_synergy": 28.95452139906643,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.19047619047618,
"second_serve_won_diff": -17.991666666666653,
"surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.966666666666669,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 33.33333333333334,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 80,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 359,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41200000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2453333333333333,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.871428571428576,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}