Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Alana Subasic
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Elena-Gabriela …: 77,4% Alana …: 22,6%
¿Por qué Elena-Gabriela Ruse?
UTR 12,16 vs 10,41 (+1,80) — Ligera ventaja
Elena-Gabriela …
Sin datos
Alana …
W41-L28
59% WR
vs UTR 10,0
L4
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elena-Gabriela … Alana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,05 11,00 95,2%
Gamdom 1,02 9,80 98,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,29 4,42 77,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Elena-Gabriela …: -13,9% Alana …: +13,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Ranking #79
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #63
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 12/24 = 50,0%
Alana Subasic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #848
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 1/3 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Sin datos UTR v4
Alana Subasic
Record 2025 41W - 28L (59%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 10,0
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 412,0000
rank_ratio 5,6818
log_rank_ratio 1,7373
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 825,0000
best_rank_diff 449,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,8714
surface_matches_ratio 8,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 36,1905
p1_surface_matches 24,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8000
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,5700
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,1942
first_serve_won_diff 13,0167
second_serve_won_diff -17,9917
bp_saved_diff 3,9625
bp_converted_diff 0,2917
aces_per_match_diff 3,0417
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0667
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 22,2222
momentum_diff 15,7778
weighted_momentum_diff 15,9667
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 80,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 359,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6154
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,5584
serve_consistency_p2 6,0543
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 28,9545
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4120
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2453
elite_surface_amplifier 33,3333
UTR
utr_diff 1,8000
utr_p1 0,4882
utr_p2 0,2765
utr_advantage 16,0000
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20929
API ID 15302978
Gamdom ID 564796
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20929,
    "api_id": 15302978,
    "gamdom_id": 564796,
    "player1": "Elena-Gabriela Ruse",
    "player2": "Alana Subasic",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-02T04:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 11.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 9.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.03,
      "p2": 10.86
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7736,
    "prob_p2": 0.2264,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7736,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 79,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 63,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.41,
      "utr_ranking": 848,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 28,
      "utr_v4_wr": 59.42028985507246,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.97,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.95,
          "opponent_name": "Ikumi Yamazaki"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.81,
          "opponent_name": "Elena Micic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.37,
          "opponent_name": "Taylah Preston"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.11,
          "opponent_name": "Sarah Rokusek"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Anastasia Necula"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.255137+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 63,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.41,
      "ranking": 848,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.2764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 1.8000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 5.681818181818182,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.222222222222225,
    "points_diff": 825,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.9625000000000057,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.06666666666666671,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 15.777777777777775,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 16.000000000000007,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 449,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.7372712839439852,
    "rank_advantage": 412,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.2916666666666572,
    "p1_surface_matches": 24,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.194166666666675,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.0416666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5700000000000001,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 13.016666666666673,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.558420018219698,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.054287294266278,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 28.95452139906643,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.19047619047618,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -17.991666666666653,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.966666666666669,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 33.33333333333334,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 80,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 359,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41200000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2453333333333333,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.871428571428576,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}