Olivia Gadecki vs Anastasia Zakharova
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 08:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Zakharova
Olivia …: 22,4% Anastasia …: 77,6%
¿Por qué Anastasia Zakharova?
UTR 11,70 vs 11,88 (-0,31) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Olivia … Anastasia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
Gamdom 2,16 1,62 46,3%
IA Fair Odds 4,47 1,29 22,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Olivia …: -18,7% Anastasia …: +18,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Olivia Gadecki
Ranking #172
UTR Rating 11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #185
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 1/12 = 8,3%
Anastasia Zakharova
Ranking #105
UTR Rating 11,88 Pro
UTR Ranking #134
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/32 = 46,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -99,0000
rank_ratio 0,5194
log_rank_ratio -0,6550
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -392,0000
best_rank_diff -4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -38,5417
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -20,7847
surface_matches_ratio 0,3750
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 8,3333
surface_wr_p2 46,8750
surface_wr_p1_stable 18,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,2222
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,8333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,0333
first_serve_won_diff 1,9156
second_serve_won_diff -7,7344
bp_saved_diff 0,6656
bp_converted_diff -11,1969
aces_per_match_diff 1,1979
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,3670
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 122,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 63,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3636
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6604
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 5,9219
serve_consistency_p2 15,6186
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 25,2466
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3177
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1302
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3100
utr_p1 0,4282
utr_p2 0,4647
utr_advantage -2,6282
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20930
API ID 15302977
Gamdom ID 564800
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20930,
    "api_id": 15302977,
    "gamdom_id": 564800,
    "player1": "Olivia Gadecki",
    "player2": "Anastasia Zakharova",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-02T04:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.16,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.21,
      "p2": 1.63
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2238,
    "prob_p2": 0.7762,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7762,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 172,
      "utr_singles": 11.7,
      "utr_ranking": 185,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 8.333333333333332,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 105,
      "utr_singles": 11.88,
      "utr_ranking": 134,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.7,
      "ranking": 185,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.88,
      "ranking": 134,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4282352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.4647058823529411,
    "utr_diff": -0.3099999999999987,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5194174757281553,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -392,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.6656249999999986,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 8.333333333333332,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.875,
    "utr_advantage": -2.6282323018227953,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6550473343276749,
    "rank_advantage": -99,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -38.54166666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.196874999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.0333333333333243,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36363636363636365,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.660377358490566,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.1979166666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.73,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.9156249999999915,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.8333333333333334,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.921868741055316,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 15.618568068803288,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 25.246616010545807,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 18.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.734375,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.375,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.366999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 122,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 63,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3176666666666667,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.13024999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -20.78472222222222,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}