Olivia Gadecki vs Anastasia Zakharova
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 08:10
02 Ene 2026, 08:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Zakharova
Olivia …: 22,4%
Anastasia …: 77,6%
¿Por qué Anastasia Zakharova?
UTR 11,70 vs 11,88
(-0,31)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Olivia … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,16 | 1,62 | 46,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,47 | 1,29 | 22,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Olivia …: -18,7%
Anastasia …: +18,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Olivia Gadecki
Ranking
#172
UTR Rating
11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#185
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
1/12 = 8,3%
Anastasia Zakharova
Ranking
#105
UTR Rating
11,88 Pro
UTR Ranking
#134
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/32 = 46,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -99,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5194 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6550 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -392,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -38,5417 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -20,7847 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 8,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,8750 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 18,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,8333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,0333 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,9156 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,7344 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,6656 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,1969 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1979 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,3670 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 122,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 63,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3636 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6604 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9219 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 15,6186 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 25,2466 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3177 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1302 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4647 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,6282 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20930
API ID
15302977
Gamdom ID
564800
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20930,
"api_id": 15302977,
"gamdom_id": 564800,
"player1": "Olivia Gadecki",
"player2": "Anastasia Zakharova",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-02T04:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5714285714285714
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.16,
"p2": 1.62
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.21,
"p2": 1.63
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2238,
"prob_p2": 0.7762,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7762,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 172,
"utr_singles": 11.7,
"utr_ranking": 185,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 8.333333333333332,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 105,
"utr_singles": 11.88,
"utr_ranking": 134,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.7,
"ranking": 185,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.88,
"ranking": 134,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4282352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.4647058823529411,
"utr_diff": -0.3099999999999987,
"rank_ratio": 0.5194174757281553,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": -392,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.6656249999999986,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 8.333333333333332,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.875,
"utr_advantage": -2.6282323018227953,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6550473343276749,
"rank_advantage": -99,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -38.54166666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.196874999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.0333333333333243,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36363636363636365,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.660377358490566,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1979166666666665,
"combined_confidence": 0.73,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.9156249999999915,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.8333333333333334,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.921868741055316,
"serve_consistency_p2": 15.618568068803288,
"surface_rank_synergy": 25.246616010545807,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 18.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.734375,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.375,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.366999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 122,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 63,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3176666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.13024999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -20.78472222222222,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}