Rebecca Sramkova vs Lizette Cabrera
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rebecca Sramkova
Rebecca …: 71,6% Lizette …: 28,4%
¿Por qué Rebecca Sramkova?
UTR 12,02 vs 11,22 (+0,85) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Rebecca … Lizette … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,00 81,8%
Gamdom 1,30 3,25 76,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,40 3,52 71,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Rebecca …: -5,0% Lizette …: +5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebecca Sramkova
Ranking #73
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #101
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/36 = 41,7%
Lizette Cabrera
Ranking #276
UTR Rating 11,22 Pro
UTR Ranking #390
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 208,0000
rank_ratio 3,8889
log_rank_ratio 1,3581
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 665,0000
best_rank_diff 86,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,8417
surface_matches_ratio 9,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 25,0000
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,6767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,0833
first_serve_won_diff 6,9667
second_serve_won_diff -4,6667
bp_saved_diff 1,2333
bp_converted_diff -18,1333
aces_per_match_diff 2,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,3200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 74,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 133,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4038
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2727
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 15,6663
serve_consistency_p2 7,4480
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 22,6354
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2913
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0420
elite_surface_amplifier 33,3333
UTR
utr_diff 0,8500
utr_p1 0,4694
utr_p2 0,3694
utr_advantage 7,3498
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20931
API ID 15302985
Gamdom ID 564802
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20931,
    "api_id": 15302985,
    "gamdom_id": 564802,
    "player1": "Rebecca Sramkova",
    "player2": "Lizette Cabrera",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-02T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2222222222222223,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.71
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7162,
    "prob_p2": 0.2838,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7162,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 73,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 101,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 276,
      "utr_singles": 11.22,
      "utr_ranking": 390,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 101,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.22,
      "ranking": 390,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.36941176470588244,
    "utr_diff": 0.8499999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 3.888888888888889,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 665,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.2333333333333343,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.349762213575439,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 86,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.3581234841531944,
    "rank_advantage": 208,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2727272727272727,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": -18.133333333333333,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.083333333333336,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40384615384615385,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.966666666666669,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.666259119694516,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.448035808574842,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 22.635391402553246,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 25.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.666666666666664,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 9.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.3200000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 33.33333333333334,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 74,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 133,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2913333333333332,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04200000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.841666666666667,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}