Rebecca Sramkova vs Lizette Cabrera
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 04:00
02 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rebecca Sramkova
Rebecca …: 71,6%
Lizette …: 28,4%
¿Por qué Rebecca Sramkova?
UTR 12,02 vs 11,22
(+0,85)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rebecca … | Lizette … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,00 | 81,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,30 | 3,25 | 76,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,40 | 3,52 | 71,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rebecca …: -5,0%
Lizette …: +5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebecca Sramkova
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#101
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Lizette Cabrera
Ranking
#276
UTR Rating
11,22 Pro
UTR Ranking
#390
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 208,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,8889 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3581 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 665,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 86,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,8417 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 9,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,0833 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,9667 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,6667 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,2333 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -18,1333 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,3200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 74,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 133,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4038 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2727 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 15,6663 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4480 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 22,6354 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2913 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0420 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 33,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3694 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,3498 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20931
API ID
15302985
Gamdom ID
564802
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20931,
"api_id": 15302985,
"gamdom_id": 564802,
"player1": "Rebecca Sramkova",
"player2": "Lizette Cabrera",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-02T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2222222222222223,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.71
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7162,
"prob_p2": 0.2838,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7162,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 101,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 276,
"utr_singles": 11.22,
"utr_ranking": 390,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 101,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.22,
"ranking": 390,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.36941176470588244,
"utr_diff": 0.8499999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 3.888888888888889,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": 665,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.2333333333333343,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 7.349762213575439,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 86,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.3581234841531944,
"rank_advantage": 208,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2727272727272727,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": -18.133333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.083333333333336,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40384615384615385,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.966666666666669,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 15.666259119694516,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.448035808574842,
"surface_rank_synergy": 22.635391402553246,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 25.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.666666666666664,
"surface_matches_ratio": 9.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.3200000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 33.33333333333334,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 74,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 133,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2913333333333332,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04200000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.841666666666667,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}