Shuai Zhang vs Elina Avanesyan
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shuai Zhang
Shuai …: 66,1% Elina …: 33,9%
¿Por qué Shuai Zhang?
UTR 12,09 vs 11,53 (+0,56) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Shuai … Elina … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,51 2,95 66,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shuai Zhang
Ranking #75
UTR Rating 12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #81
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 13/22 = 59,1%
Elina Avanesyan
Ranking #149
UTR Rating 11,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #244
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 11/21 = 52,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 37,0000
rank_ratio 1,4568
log_rank_ratio 0,3762
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 194,0000
best_rank_diff 14,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,7100
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,0795
surface_matches_ratio 1,0476
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,0909
surface_wr_p2 52,3810
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,6923
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,0000
p1_surface_matches 22,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1818
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7333
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,7167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,6477
first_serve_won_diff 5,7619
second_serve_won_diff -0,7632
bp_saved_diff -9,4195
bp_converted_diff 4,6853
aces_per_match_diff 0,9978
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 23,1000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 21,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 58,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8571
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5758
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 16,0250
serve_consistency_p2 14,5507
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,5245
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0539
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0608
elite_surface_amplifier 6,7100
UTR
utr_diff 0,5600
utr_p1 0,4859
utr_p2 0,4200
utr_advantage 4,7257
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20933
API ID 15302979
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20933,
    "api_id": 15302979,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Shuai Zhang",
    "player2": "Elina Avanesyan",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-02T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6607,
    "prob_p2": 0.3393,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6607,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 75,
      "utr_singles": 12.09,
      "utr_ranking": 81,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 11.53,
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      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.5600000000000005,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 194,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -9.419480519480523,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
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    "p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "surface_wr_diff": 6.709956709956707,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.685281385281378,
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    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5757575757575758,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.9978354978354977,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.761904761904752,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 16.024987940271576,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.55074079556303,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.524523715062771,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.692307692307686,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.7632034632034532,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 58,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.079487179487176,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}