Shuai Zhang vs Elina Avanesyan
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 05:10
02 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shuai Zhang
Shuai …: 66,1%
Elina …: 33,9%
¿Por qué Shuai Zhang?
UTR 12,09 vs 11,53
(+0,56)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Shuai … | Elina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,51 | 2,95 | 66,1% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shuai Zhang
Ranking
#75
UTR Rating
12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
13/22 = 59,1%
Elina Avanesyan
Ranking
#149
UTR Rating
11,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#244
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
11/21 = 52,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 37,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4568 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3762 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 194,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 14,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,7100 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,0795 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0476 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,3810 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,6923 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1818 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,6477 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,7619 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,7632 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,4195 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,6853 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,9978 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 23,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 21,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8571 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5758 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 16,0250 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,5507 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,5245 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0539 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0608 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 6,7100 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4200 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,7257 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20933
API ID
15302979
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20933,
"api_id": 15302979,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Shuai Zhang",
"player2": "Elina Avanesyan",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-02T01:10:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6607,
"prob_p2": 0.3393,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6607,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.09,
"utr_ranking": 81,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 149,
"utr_singles": 11.53,
"utr_ranking": 244,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 81,
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},
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.5600000000000005,
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"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": 194,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.419480519480523,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
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"utr_advantage": 4.725738396624476,
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"best_rank_diff": 14,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.37623546979322603,
"rank_advantage": 37,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.709956709956707,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.685281385281378,
"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.647662337662339,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5757575757575758,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9978354978354977,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.761904761904752,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
"serve_consistency_p1": 16.024987940271576,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.55074079556303,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.524523715062771,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.692307692307686,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.7632034632034532,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0476190476190477,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 23.099999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 6.709956709956707,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 58,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05390909090909102,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06080952380952376,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.079487179487176,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}