Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Zeynep Sonmez
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 07:15
02 Ene 2026, 07:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zeynep Sonmez
Victoria …: 47,2%
Zeynep …: 52,8%
¿Por qué Zeynep Sonmez?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Victoria … | Zeynep … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,35 | 1,53 | 42,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,12 | 1,90 | 47,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Victoria …: +8,0%
Zeynep …: -8,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Ranking
#114
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Zeynep Sonmez
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9739 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0264 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -12,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,6876 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,7985 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8788 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,1724 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,6486 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1034 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,2343 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,1257 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,8320 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,7968 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,2185 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1609 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -38,7800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 23,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 27,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3548 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6019 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,6649 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6821 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,1768 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0547 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0182 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4647 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20935
API ID
15302986
Gamdom ID
564797
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20935,
"api_id": 15302986,
"gamdom_id": 564797,
"player1": "Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva",
"player2": "Zeynep Sonmez",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-02T03:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.375,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.35,
"p2": 1.53
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.41,
"p2": 1.53
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4724,
"prob_p2": 0.5276,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5276,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 114,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 112,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.11,
"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4647058823529411,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.9739130434782609,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -12,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.796760710553812,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.172413793103445,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.484848484848484,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -38,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.026433257068155483,
"rank_advantage": -3,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.68756530825496,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.2184952978056387,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.2342842215255985,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3548387096774194,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6018518518518519,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.160919540229885,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.12570532915360388,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.664876146970603,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.682112768787043,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.17677413295318184,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.831974921630099,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8787878787878788,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -38.78000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 27,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05472413793103448,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.01815151515151514,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.798525798525789,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}