Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Zeynep Sonmez
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 07:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zeynep Sonmez
Victoria …: 47,2% Zeynep …: 52,8%
¿Por qué Zeynep Sonmez?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Victoria … Zeynep … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,53 42,1%
Gamdom 2,35 1,53 42,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,12 1,90 47,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Victoria …: +8,0% Zeynep …: -8,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Ranking #114
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 16/29 = 55,2%
Zeynep Sonmez
Ranking #112
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -3,0000
rank_ratio 0,9739
log_rank_ratio -0,0264
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -12,0000
best_rank_diff -38,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,6876
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,7985
surface_matches_ratio 0,8788
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,1724
surface_wr_p2 48,4848
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,5455
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,6486
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1034
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,2343
first_serve_won_diff 0,1257
second_serve_won_diff 2,8320
bp_saved_diff 4,7968
bp_converted_diff 2,2185
aces_per_match_diff 1,1609
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -38,7800
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 23,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 27,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3548
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6019
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 6,6649
serve_consistency_p2 4,6821
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,1768
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0547
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0182
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4647
utr_p2 0,4647
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20935
API ID 15302986
Gamdom ID 564797
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20935,
    "api_id": 15302986,
    "gamdom_id": 564797,
    "player1": "Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva",
    "player2": "Zeynep Sonmez",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-02T03:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.375,
      "p2": 1.5333333333333332
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.35,
      "p2": 1.53
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.41,
      "p2": 1.53
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4724,
    "prob_p2": 0.5276,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5276,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 114,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 112,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.4647058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9739130434782609,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -12,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.796760710553812,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.172413793103445,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.484848484848484,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -38,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.026433257068155483,
    "rank_advantage": -3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.68756530825496,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.2184952978056387,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.2342842215255985,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3548387096774194,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6018518518518519,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.160919540229885,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.12570532915360388,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.664876146970603,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.682112768787043,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.17677413295318184,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.64864864864865,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.831974921630099,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8787878787878788,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -38.78000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 27,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05472413793103448,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.01815151515151514,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.798525798525789,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}