Viktoriya Tomova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 05:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Viktoriya …: 30,6% Aliaksandra …: 69,4%
¿Por qué Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
UTR 11,93 vs 12,29 (-0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Viktoriya … Aliaksandra … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
Gamdom 2,50 1,47 40,0%
IA Fair Odds 3,27 1,44 30,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Viktoriya …: -10,5% Aliaksandra …: +10,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktoriya Tomova
Ranking #128
UTR Rating 11,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #124
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/25 = 44,0%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking #104
UTR Rating 12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #42
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -17,0000
rank_ratio 0,8702
log_rank_ratio -0,1390
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -128,0000
best_rank_diff -17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,3871
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,4319
surface_matches_ratio 0,8065
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,0000
surface_wr_p2 48,3871
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,8276
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,5714
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1200
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,0321
first_serve_won_diff -3,2613
second_serve_won_diff -1,0458
bp_saved_diff -1,7219
bp_converted_diff -4,0316
aces_per_match_diff -1,0439
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6,3210
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 82,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 65,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5217
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5745
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 4,6196
serve_consistency_p2 9,2517
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,6098
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0430
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0331
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1800
utr_p1 0,4647
utr_p2 0,4859
utr_advantage -1,4950
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20936
API ID 15302989
Gamdom ID 564801
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20936,
    "api_id": 15302989,
    "gamdom_id": 564801,
    "player1": "Viktoriya Tomova",
    "player2": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-02T01:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.47
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.62,
      "p2": 1.46
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3062,
    "prob_p2": 0.6938,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6938,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 128,
      "utr_singles": 11.93,
      "utr_ranking": 124,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 104,
      "utr_singles": 12.29,
      "utr_ranking": 42,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.93,
      "ranking": 124,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.29,
      "ranking": 42,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.48588235294117654,
    "utr_diff": -0.1800000000000015,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8702290076335878,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": -128,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.721935483870972,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
    "utr_advantage": -1.4950166112956937,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.13899887480665607,
    "rank_advantage": -17,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.387096774193552,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.031612903225806,
    "p1_surface_matches": 25,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.032129032258062,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5217391304347826,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.574468085106383,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0438709677419356,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.261290322580642,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.12,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.619609335046328,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.251701495851428,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.6098015152808142,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.827586206896555,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.045806451612897,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8064516129032258,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.320999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 82,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 65,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04299999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03312903225806452,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.4318555008210128,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}