Viktoriya Tomova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 05:55
02 Ene 2026, 05:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Viktoriya …: 30,6%
Aliaksandra …: 69,4%
¿Por qué Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
UTR 11,93 vs 12,29
(-0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Viktoriya … | Aliaksandra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,50 | 1,47 | 40,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,27 | 1,44 | 30,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Viktoriya …: -10,5%
Aliaksandra …: +10,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktoriya Tomova
Ranking
#128
UTR Rating
11,93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/25 = 44,0%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking
#104
UTR Rating
12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8702 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1390 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -128,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,3871 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,4319 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8065 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,8276 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1200 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,0321 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,2613 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,0458 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,7219 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,0316 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0439 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,3210 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 82,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 65,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5217 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5745 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,6196 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,2517 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6098 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0430 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0331 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4859 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4950 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20936
API ID
15302989
Gamdom ID
564801
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20936,
"api_id": 15302989,
"gamdom_id": 564801,
"player1": "Viktoriya Tomova",
"player2": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-02T01:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5714285714285714
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.47
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.62,
"p2": 1.46
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3062,
"prob_p2": 0.6938,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6938,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 128,
"utr_singles": 11.93,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 104,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.93,
"ranking": 124,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.29,
"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.48588235294117654,
"utr_diff": -0.1800000000000015,
"rank_ratio": 0.8702290076335878,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -128,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.721935483870972,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
"utr_advantage": -1.4950166112956937,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13899887480665607,
"rank_advantage": -17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.387096774193552,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.031612903225806,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.032129032258062,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5217391304347826,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.574468085106383,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0438709677419356,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.261290322580642,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.12,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.619609335046328,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.251701495851428,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6098015152808142,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.827586206896555,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.045806451612897,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8064516129032258,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.320999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 82,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 65,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04299999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03312903225806452,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.4318555008210128,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}