Yulia Putintseva vs Priscilla Hon
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Priscilla Hon
Yulia …: 44,6% Priscilla …: 55,4%
¿Por qué Priscilla Hon?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00 (-0,01) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yulia … Priscilla … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 1,91 55,6%
Gamdom 1,59 2,21 62,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,24 1,81 44,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Yulia …: -6,9% Priscilla …: +6,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking #94
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/32 = 46,9%
Priscilla Hon
Ranking #121
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 14/23 = 60,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 48,0000
rank_ratio 1,6761
log_rank_ratio 0,5164
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 280,0000
best_rank_diff 74,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,9946
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,6327
surface_matches_ratio 1,3913
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,8750
surface_wr_p2 60,8696
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,2593
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0625
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,8058
first_serve_won_diff -3,7406
second_serve_won_diff -4,6219
bp_saved_diff -4,3687
bp_converted_diff -1,0344
aces_per_match_diff -3,7745
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,3760
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 62,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 82,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5574
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0779
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 6,5255
serve_consistency_p2 6,2354
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,2274
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0793
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1567
elite_surface_amplifier -13,9946
UTR
utr_diff -0,0100
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4718
utr_advantage -0,0833
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20937
API ID 15302983
Gamdom ID 564805
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20937,
    "api_id": 15302983,
    "gamdom_id": 564805,
    "player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
    "player2": "Priscilla Hon",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-02T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 1.9090909090909092
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.59,
      "p2": 2.21
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.61,
      "p2": 2.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4461,
    "prob_p2": 0.5539,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5539,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 94,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 121,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.86956521739131,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.4717647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -0.009999999999999787,
    "rank_ratio": 1.676056338028169,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 280,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.368749999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 21.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.86956521739131,
    "utr_advantage": -0.08329862557267628,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 74,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5164436160702139,
    "rank_advantage": 48,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.994565217391312,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.03437499999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.805788043478259,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.077922077922078,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.774456521739131,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.7406250000000014,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.525485533692006,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.235417126449407,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.227403866200008,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.25925925925925,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.621874999999996,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.391304347826087,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.375999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -13.994565217391312,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 82,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07925000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15669565217391312,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.63271604938271,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}