Shuai Zhang vs Fiona Ferro
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shuai Zhang
Shuai …: 55,0% Fiona …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Shuai Zhang?
UTR 12,09 vs 11,60 (+0,56) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Shuai … Fiona … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,00 81,8%
Gamdom 1,16 4,60 86,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 55,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Shuai …: -21,6% Fiona …: +21,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shuai Zhang
Ranking #75
UTR Rating 12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #81
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 13/22 = 59,1%
Fiona Ferro
Ranking #369
UTR Rating 11,60 Pro
UTR Ranking #213
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 1/1 = 100,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 285,0000
rank_ratio 4,5185
log_rank_ratio 1,5082
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 676,0000
best_rank_diff 17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -40,9091
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,3852
surface_matches_ratio 22,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,0909
surface_wr_p2 100,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,6923
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,2500
p1_surface_matches 22,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1818
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7333
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,5233
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,7009
first_serve_won_diff 4,0000
second_serve_won_diff -5,9727
bp_saved_diff -16,7909
bp_converted_diff 13,9091
aces_per_match_diff -0,9545
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,0600
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 21,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 22,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8571
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 16,0250
serve_consistency_p2 5,6879
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -61,6984
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1941
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,7850
elite_surface_amplifier -81,8182
UTR
utr_diff 0,5600
utr_p1 0,4859
utr_p2 0,4200
utr_advantage 4,7257
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20938
API ID 15303152
Gamdom ID 564955
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20938,
    "api_id": 15303152,
    "gamdom_id": 564955,
    "player1": "Shuai Zhang",
    "player2": "Fiona Ferro",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-02T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2222222222222223,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.16,
      "p2": 4.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 4.56
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.55,
    "prob_p2": 0.45,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.55,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 75,
      "utr_singles": 12.09,
      "utr_ranking": 81,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 369,
      "utr_singles": 11.6,
      "utr_ranking": 213,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 100.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 12.09,
      "ranking": 81,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.6,
      "ranking": 213,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.48588235294117654,
    "utr_p2": 0.42000000000000004,
    "utr_diff": 0.5600000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 4.518518518518518,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 676,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -16.79090909090909,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
    "surface_wr_p2": 100.0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.725738396624476,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.5081841787289274,
    "rank_advantage": 285,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -40.90909090909091,
    "bp_converted_diff": 13.909090909090907,
    "p1_surface_matches": 22,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.700909090909093,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.9545454545454546,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5233333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.999999999999993,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 16.024987940271576,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.687944127179378,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -61.6984436752743,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.692307692307686,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.25,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.972727272727276,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 22.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.060000000000002274,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -81.81818181818181,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1940909090909091,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.785,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.3851923076923107,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}