Shuai Zhang vs Fiona Ferro
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
02 Ene 2026, 06:00
02 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shuai Zhang
Shuai …: 55,0%
Fiona …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Shuai Zhang?
UTR 12,09 vs 11,60
(+0,56)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Shuai … | Fiona … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,00 | 81,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,16 | 4,60 | 86,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,22 | 55,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Shuai …: -21,6%
Fiona …: +21,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shuai Zhang
Ranking
#75
UTR Rating
12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
13/22 = 59,1%
Fiona Ferro
Ranking
#369
UTR Rating
11,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#213
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
1/1 = 100,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 285,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,5185 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5082 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 676,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -40,9091 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,3852 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 22,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,6923 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,2500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1818 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,7009 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,9727 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -16,7909 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 13,9091 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9545 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,0600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 21,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8571 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 16,0250 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,6879 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -61,6984 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1941 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,7850 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -81,8182 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4200 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,7257 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20938
API ID
15303152
Gamdom ID
564955
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20938,
"api_id": 15303152,
"gamdom_id": 564955,
"player1": "Shuai Zhang",
"player2": "Fiona Ferro",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-02T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2222222222222223,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.16,
"p2": 4.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.56
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.55,
"prob_p2": 0.45,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.55,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 75,
"utr_singles": 12.09,
"utr_ranking": 81,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 369,
"utr_singles": 11.6,
"utr_ranking": 213,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 100.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 81,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.6,
"ranking": 213,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.42000000000000004,
"utr_diff": 0.5600000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 4.518518518518518,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": 676,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -16.79090909090909,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2": 100.0,
"utr_advantage": 4.725738396624476,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5081841787289274,
"rank_advantage": 285,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -40.90909090909091,
"bp_converted_diff": 13.909090909090907,
"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.700909090909093,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9545454545454546,
"combined_confidence": 0.5233333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.999999999999993,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
"serve_consistency_p1": 16.024987940271576,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.687944127179378,
"surface_rank_synergy": -61.6984436752743,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.692307692307686,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.25,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.972727272727276,
"surface_matches_ratio": 22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.060000000000002274,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -81.81818181818181,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1940909090909091,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.785,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.3851923076923107,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}