Anna Bondar vs Katie Volynets
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Final
03 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Katie Volynets
Anna …: 33,1% Katie …: 66,9%
¿Por qué Katie Volynets?
UTR 12,04 vs 12,00 (-0,04) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna … Katie … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
Gamdom 2,32 1,54 43,1%
IA Fair Odds 3,02 1,49 33,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna …: -8,1% Katie …: +8,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Bondar
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Katie Volynets
Ranking #96
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #115
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 21/36 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 19,0000
rank_ratio 1,2568
log_rank_ratio 0,2285
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 90,0000
best_rank_diff 6,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,4412
surface_matches_ratio 0,8333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,6667
surface_wr_p2 58,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,0588
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,5000
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 36,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 13,1253
first_serve_won_diff 10,9333
second_serve_won_diff -0,3600
bp_saved_diff -7,6200
bp_converted_diff -4,0133
aces_per_match_diff 3,8833
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,4000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4423
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5385
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2222
serve_consistency_p1 6,2837
serve_consistency_p2 3,8220
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,6662
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0523
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1023
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0400
utr_p1 0,4635
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage -0,3344
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20958
API ID 15305723
Gamdom ID 566972
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20958,
    "api_id": 15305723,
    "gamdom_id": 566972,
    "player1": "Anna Bondar",
    "player2": "Katie Volynets",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-03T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.32,
      "p2": 1.54
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.5
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3307,
    "prob_p2": 0.6693,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6693,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 96,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 115,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 115,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4635294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.040000000000000924,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2567567567567568,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 90,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.61999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": -0.33444816053512477,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 6,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.22853439994908623,
    "rank_advantage": 19,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.666666666666671,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.013333333333328,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 36,
    "serve_quality_diff": 13.12533333333333,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6578947368421053,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4423076923076923,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.8833333333333337,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.933333333333337,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.283672543516972,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.821965738888236,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.6662346660726737,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.49999999999999,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.35999999999999943,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8333333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.400000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0523333333333334,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10233333333333339,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.441176470588232,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}