Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Zeynep Sonmez
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Final
03 Ene 2026, 09:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Elena-Gabriela …: 61,6% Zeynep …: 38,4%
¿Por qué Elena-Gabriela Ruse?
UTR 12,16 vs 12,11 (+0,20) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elena-Gabriela … Zeynep … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 1,91 55,6%
Gamdom 1,55 2,31 64,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,62 2,60 61,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Elena-Gabriela …: +10,1% Zeynep …: -10,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Ranking #79
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #63
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 12/24 = 50,0%
Zeynep Sonmez
Ranking #112
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 24,0000
rank_ratio 1,2727
log_rank_ratio 0,2412
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 131,0000
best_rank_diff 18,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,5152
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,2162
surface_matches_ratio 0,7273
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 48,4848
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,6486
p1_surface_matches 24,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,7348
first_serve_won_diff 4,2803
second_serve_won_diff -6,0735
bp_saved_diff -1,1890
bp_converted_diff 2,0826
aces_per_match_diff 2,7083
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,9650
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6154
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6019
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 8,2157
serve_consistency_p2 2,9311
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,3654
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0240
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0088
elite_surface_amplifier 1,5152
UTR
utr_diff 0,2000
utr_p1 0,4882
utr_p2 0,4647
utr_advantage 1,6598
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20959
API ID 15305848
Gamdom ID 567004
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20959,
    "api_id": 15305848,
    "gamdom_id": 567004,
    "player1": "Elena-Gabriela Ruse",
    "player2": "Zeynep Sonmez",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-03T05:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 1.9090909090909092
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.31
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6158,
    "prob_p2": 0.3842,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6158,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 79,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 63,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 112,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 63,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.4647058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.20000000000000107,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2727272727272727,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 131,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.1890151515151572,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.484848484848484,
    "utr_advantage": 1.659751037344407,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 18,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.24116205681688804,
    "rank_advantage": 24,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.5151515151515156,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.0825757575757464,
    "p1_surface_matches": 24,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.734772727272727,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6018518518518519,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.7083333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.280303030303024,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.215696004749292,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.931111645681454,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.3653970557831638,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.64864864864865,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.0734848484848385,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7272727272727273,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.9650000000000034,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 1.5151515151515156,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.02400000000000002,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.008848484848484883,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2162162162162127,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}