Yulia Putintseva vs Olivia Gadecki
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Final
03 Ene 2026, 07:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yulia Putintseva
Yulia …: 85,9% Olivia …: 14,1%
¿Por qué Yulia Putintseva?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,70 (+0,36) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yulia … Olivia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
Gamdom 1,33 3,05 75,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,16 7,10 85,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Yulia …: +19,6% Olivia …: -19,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking #94
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/32 = 46,9%
Olivia Gadecki
Ranking #172
UTR Rating 11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #185
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 1/12 = 8,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 135,0000
rank_ratio 2,9014
log_rank_ratio 1,0652
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 574,0000
best_rank_diff 63,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 38,5417
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 20,7847
surface_matches_ratio 2,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,8750
surface_wr_p2 8,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 18,7500
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0625
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,7300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,2852
first_serve_won_diff 0,8594
second_serve_won_diff 4,9781
bp_saved_diff 1,8312
bp_converted_diff 8,7656
aces_per_match_diff -1,6042
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 16,5540
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5574
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3636
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,7812
serve_consistency_p2 5,9815
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 41,0544
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1663
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2817
elite_surface_amplifier 77,0833
UTR
utr_diff 0,3600
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4282
utr_advantage 3,0457
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20963
API ID 15305847
Gamdom ID 567005
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20963,
    "api_id": 15305847,
    "gamdom_id": 567005,
    "player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
    "player2": "Olivia Gadecki",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-03T03:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.05
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.31,
      "p2": 3.28
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8591,
    "prob_p2": 0.1409,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8591,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 94,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 172,
      "utr_singles": 11.7,
      "utr_ranking": 185,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 8.333333333333332,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.7,
      "ranking": 185,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.4282352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 2.9014084507042255,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 574,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.8312499999999972,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
    "surface_wr_p2": 8.333333333333332,
    "utr_advantage": 3.0456852791878126,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 63,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0651962917482658,
    "rank_advantage": 135,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 38.54166666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.765625000000007,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.2852083333333226,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6041666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.73,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.8593750000000142,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.781189994047507,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.981466862992334,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 41.05444041113108,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 18.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.978125000000006,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 16.554000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 77.08333333333334,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16625,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2816666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.78472222222222,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}