Darja Semenistaja vs Cadence Brace
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cadence Brace
Darja …: 46,8% Cadence …: 53,3%
¿Por qué Cadence Brace?
UTR 11,94 vs 11,63 (+0,32) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Darja … Cadence … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 60,0%
Gamdom 1,43 2,60 69,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,14 1,88 46,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Darja …: -9,0% Cadence …: +9,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking #98
UTR Rating 11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #121
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 3/9 = 33,3%
Cadence Brace
Ranking #187
UTR Rating 11,63 General
UTR Ranking #223
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 86,0000
rank_ratio 1,8515
log_rank_ratio 0,6160
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 396,0000
best_rank_diff 95,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21,2121
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,5950
surface_matches_ratio 0,8182
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 54,5455
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,4218
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,4333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,1516
first_serve_won_diff -2,7455
second_serve_won_diff -9,0273
bp_saved_diff -11,4818
bp_converted_diff -0,7000
aces_per_match_diff -0,5354
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 16,7700
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 70,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 59,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7692
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,0638
serve_consistency_p2 5,4734
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -13,0664
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2527
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1315
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3200
utr_p1 0,4682
utr_p2 0,4306
utr_advantage 2,7073
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20964
API ID 15305780
Gamdom ID 566978
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20964,
    "api_id": 15305780,
    "gamdom_id": 566978,
    "player1": "Darja Semenistaja",
    "player2": "Cadence Brace",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-03T02:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6666666666666665,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.76
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4675,
    "prob_p2": 0.5325,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5325,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 98,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 121,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 187,
      "utr_singles": 11.63,
      "utr_ranking": 223,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 121,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.63,
      "ranking": 223,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.43058823529411766,
    "utr_diff": 0.3200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 1.8514851485148516,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 396,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -11.481818181818177,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 21.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
    "utr_advantage": 2.7072758037225064,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 95,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6159881000133273,
    "rank_advantage": 86,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.21212121212121,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.7000000000000028,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.151616161616161,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5353535353535352,
    "combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.7454545454545496,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.063834028130021,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.473416404422417,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -13.06641424270694,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.421836228287845,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -9.027272727272724,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8181818181818182,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 16.769999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 70,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2526666666666668,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1314545454545455,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.594982078853047,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}