Darja Semenistaja vs Cadence Brace
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 06:05
03 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cadence Brace
Darja …: 46,8%
Cadence …: 53,3%
¿Por qué Cadence Brace?
UTR 11,94 vs 11,63
(+0,32)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Darja … | Cadence … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,43 | 2,60 | 69,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,14 | 1,88 | 46,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Darja …: -9,0%
Cadence …: +9,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking
#98
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#121
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
3/9 = 33,3%
Cadence Brace
Ranking
#187
UTR Rating
11,63 General
UTR Ranking
#223
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 86,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8515 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6160 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 396,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 95,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21,2121 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,5950 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8182 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,4218 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,1516 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,7455 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -9,0273 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -11,4818 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5354 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 16,7700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 59,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7692 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,0638 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4734 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -13,0664 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2527 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1315 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4306 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,7073 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20964
API ID
15305780
Gamdom ID
566978
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20964,
"api_id": 15305780,
"gamdom_id": 566978,
"player1": "Darja Semenistaja",
"player2": "Cadence Brace",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-03T02:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.76
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4675,
"prob_p2": 0.5325,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5325,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 98,
"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 121,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 187,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 223,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.94,
"ranking": 121,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.63,
"ranking": 223,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.43058823529411766,
"utr_diff": 0.3200000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 1.8514851485148516,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 396,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -11.481818181818177,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 21.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
"utr_advantage": 2.7072758037225064,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 95,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6159881000133273,
"rank_advantage": 86,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.21212121212121,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.7000000000000028,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.151616161616161,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5353535353535352,
"combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.7454545454545496,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.063834028130021,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.473416404422417,
"surface_rank_synergy": -13.06641424270694,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.421836228287845,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -9.027272727272724,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8181818181818182,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 16.769999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 70,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2526666666666668,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1314545454545455,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.594982078853047,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}