Elyse Tse vs Sofia Costoulas
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 03:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sofia Costoulas
Elyse …: 11,2% Sofia …: 88,8%
¿Por qué Sofia Costoulas?
UTR 10,16 vs 11,72 (-1,45) — Ligera ventaja
Elyse …
W32-L25
56% WR
vs UTR 9,4
L2
Sofia …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elyse … Sofia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 13,00 1,04 7,7%
Gamdom 9,80 1,02 10,2%
IA Fair Odds 8,92 1,13 11,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Elyse …: +3,8% Sofia …: -3,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elyse Tse
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #967
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/3 = 0,0%
Sofia Costoulas
Ranking #143
UTR Rating 11,72 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Elyse Tse
Record 2025 32W - 25L (56%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 9,4
Últimos 5:
L L W L W
Sofia Costoulas
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -337,0000
rank_ratio 0,3260
log_rank_ratio -1,1209
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -440,0000
best_rank_diff -351,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -25,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,1714
surface_matches_ratio 0,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 8,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 32,1429
p1_surface_matches 3,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3400
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,3467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -23,5283
first_serve_won_diff -18,5500
second_serve_won_diff -23,0667
bp_saved_diff -32,2000
bp_converted_diff 12,6083
aces_per_match_diff -3,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -58,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -45,1300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 370,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 69,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 12,6449
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 28,0214
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1630
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5870
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,4500
utr_p1 0,2576
utr_p2 0,4282
utr_advantage -13,2845
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20965
API ID 15305777
Gamdom ID 566974
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20965,
    "api_id": 15305777,
    "gamdom_id": 566974,
    "player1": "Elyse Tse",
    "player2": "Sofia Costoulas",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-02T23:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 13.0,
      "p2": 1.04
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 9.8,
      "p2": 1.02
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 13.94,
      "p2": 1.02
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1121,
    "prob_p2": 0.8879,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8879,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.16,
      "utr_ranking": 967,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.14035087719298,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.41,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.91,
          "opponent_name": "Iga Swiatek"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.05,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriela Lee"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Megan Markov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.93,
          "opponent_name": "Kimiko Cooper"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.26,
          "opponent_name": "Elicia Kim"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:12.653470+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 143,
      "utr_singles": 11.72,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.16,
      "ranking": 967,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.72,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.25764705882352934,
    "utr_p2": 0.4282352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -1.450000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 0.326,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -440,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -32.2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -57.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": -13.284470911589565,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -351,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.1208578976154293,
    "rank_advantage": -337,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -25.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 12.608333333333327,
    "p1_surface_matches": 3,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": -23.528333333333332,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.666666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -18.549999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.644872181659116,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 28.02144744038573,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 8.571428571428571,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 32.14285714285714,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -23.066666666666677,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -45.13000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 370,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 69,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16300000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.587,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.17142857142857,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}