Kaitlin Quevedo vs Carole Monnet
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 04:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Carole Monnet
Kaitlin …: 28,6% Carole …: 71,4%
¿Por qué Carole Monnet?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (32%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kaitlin … Carole … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
Gamdom 1,54 2,33 64,9%
IA Fair Odds 3,50 1,40 28,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Kaitlin …: -37,7% Carole …: +37,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kaitlin Quevedo
Ranking #129
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Carole Monnet
Ranking #175
UTR Rating 11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #197
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 2/3 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 28,0000
rank_ratio 1,1931
log_rank_ratio 0,1766
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 100,0000
best_rank_diff 15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -66,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,4109
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,4444
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,3534
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,3200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -52,4533
first_serve_won_diff -55,9000
second_serve_won_diff -63,9000
bp_saved_diff -50,0000
bp_converted_diff -43,2000
aces_per_match_diff -2,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 24,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 18,6200
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 91,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 38,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,6981
serve_consistency_p2 5,2994
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -11,7705
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5280
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1947
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4376
utr_p2 0,4376
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20967
API ID 15305773
Gamdom ID 566984
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20967,
    "api_id": 15305773,
    "gamdom_id": 566984,
    "player1": "Kaitlin Quevedo",
    "player2": "Carole Monnet",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-03T00:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.33
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.39
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.286,
    "prob_p2": 0.714,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.714,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 129,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 175,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 197,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 197,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4376470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.4376470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.193103448275862,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 100,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -50.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 23.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.1765578520772045,
    "rank_advantage": 28,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -66.66666666666666,
    "bp_converted_diff": -43.20000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "serve_quality_diff": -52.45333333333333,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.6666666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31999999999999995,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -55.9,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.698130343095164,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.299412489063823,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -11.770523471813632,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.35338345864662,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -63.9,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 18.619999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 91,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 38,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.528,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19466666666666654,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.4108604845446955,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}