Kristina Mladenovic vs Anna-Lena Friedsam
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 03:40
03 Ene 2026, 03:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Kristina …: 29,8%
Anna-Lena …: 70,2%
¿Por qué Anna-Lena Friedsam?
UTR 11,04 vs 11,70
(-0,93)
— Niveles similares
Kristina …
W1-L4
20% WR
vs UTR 11,6
L4
Anna-Lena …
Sin datos
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kristina … | Anna-Lena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,50 | 1,11 | 15,4% |
| Gamdom | 5,00 | 1,13 | 20,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,36 | 1,42 | 29,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kristina …: +15,2%
Anna-Lena …: -15,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kristina Mladenovic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#474
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Ranking
#156
UTR Rating
11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#186
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
9/16 = 56,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Kristina Mladenovic
Record 2025
1W - 4L (20%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
11,6
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -346,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3080 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,1777 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -472,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -455,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22,9167 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,2135 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1875 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 36,1905 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,2142 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,3563 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -14,9188 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,4188 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 13,3312 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,2083 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -36,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -29,1400 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 322,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,7827 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,9773 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 26,9879 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1793 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2835 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,9300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3247 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4341 | |
| utr_advantage | -8,2851 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20968
API ID
15305774
Gamdom ID
566980
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20968,
"api_id": 15305774,
"gamdom_id": 566980,
"player1": "Kristina Mladenovic",
"player2": "Anna-Lena Friedsam",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-02T23:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.5,
"p2": 1.1111111111111112
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.0,
"p2": 1.13
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.93,
"p2": 1.16
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2979,
"prob_p2": 0.7021,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7021,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.04,
"utr_ranking": 474,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 1,
"utr_v4_losses": 4,
"utr_v4_wr": 20.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.56,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.22,
"opponent_name": "Alevtina Ibragimova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.49,
"opponent_name": "Katerina SINIAKOVA"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.99,
"opponent_name": "Malene Helgo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.57,
"opponent_name": "Polina Kudermetova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.54,
"opponent_name": "Louisa Chirico"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.833181+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 156,
"utr_singles": 11.7,
"utr_ranking": 186,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.04,
"ranking": 474,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.7,
"ranking": 186,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4341176470588235,
"utr_diff": -0.9299999999999997,
"rank_ratio": 0.308,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -472,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.41875000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -35.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
"utr_advantage": -8.285077951002224,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -455,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.1776554960085626,
"rank_advantage": -346,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -22.91666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": 13.331249999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.214166666666664,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.2083333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.43666666666666665,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.3562500000000028,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.7827365119726,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.97731449752381,
"surface_rank_synergy": 26.987938450196232,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.19047619047618,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"second_serve_won_diff": -14.918750000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1875,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -29.140000000000008,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 322,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 20,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17933333333333323,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2835,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.213492063492069,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}