Kristina Mladenovic vs Anna-Lena Friedsam
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 03:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Kristina …: 29,8% Anna-Lena …: 70,2%
¿Por qué Anna-Lena Friedsam?
UTR 11,04 vs 11,70 (-0,93) — Niveles similares
Kristina …
W1-L4
20% WR
vs UTR 11,6
L4
Anna-Lena …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kristina … Anna-Lena … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 6,50 1,11 15,4%
Gamdom 5,00 1,13 20,0%
IA Fair Odds 3,36 1,42 29,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Kristina …: +15,2% Anna-Lena …: -15,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kristina Mladenovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #474
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 1/3 = 33,3%
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Ranking #156
UTR Rating 11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #186
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 9/16 = 56,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Kristina Mladenovic
Record 2025 1W - 4L (20%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 11,6
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -346,0000
rank_ratio 0,3080
log_rank_ratio -1,1777
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -472,0000
best_rank_diff -455,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -22,9167
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,2135
surface_matches_ratio 0,1875
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 56,2500
surface_wr_p1_stable 36,1905
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,0000
p1_surface_matches 3,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3400
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,4367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,2142
first_serve_won_diff 1,3563
second_serve_won_diff -14,9188
bp_saved_diff -8,4188
bp_converted_diff 13,3312
aces_per_match_diff -3,2083
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -36,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -29,1400
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 322,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 20,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 10,7827
serve_consistency_p2 9,9773
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 26,9879
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1793
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2835
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,9300
utr_p1 0,3247
utr_p2 0,4341
utr_advantage -8,2851
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20968
API ID 15305774
Gamdom ID 566980
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20968,
    "api_id": 15305774,
    "gamdom_id": 566980,
    "player1": "Kristina Mladenovic",
    "player2": "Anna-Lena Friedsam",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-02T23:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 6.5,
      "p2": 1.1111111111111112
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.0,
      "p2": 1.13
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.93,
      "p2": 1.16
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2979,
    "prob_p2": 0.7021,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7021,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.04,
      "utr_ranking": 474,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 1,
      "utr_v4_losses": 4,
      "utr_v4_wr": 20.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.56,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.22,
          "opponent_name": "Alevtina Ibragimova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.49,
          "opponent_name": "Katerina SINIAKOVA"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.99,
          "opponent_name": "Malene Helgo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.57,
          "opponent_name": "Polina Kudermetova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.54,
          "opponent_name": "Louisa Chirico"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.833181+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 156,
      "utr_singles": 11.7,
      "utr_ranking": 186,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.04,
      "ranking": 474,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.7,
      "ranking": 186,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3247058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.4341176470588235,
    "utr_diff": -0.9299999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 0.308,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -472,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.41875000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -35.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
    "utr_advantage": -8.285077951002224,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -455,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.1776554960085626,
    "rank_advantage": -346,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -22.91666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": 13.331249999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 3,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.214166666666664,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.2083333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.43666666666666665,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.3562500000000028,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.7827365119726,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.97731449752381,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 26.987938450196232,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.19047619047618,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.00000000000001,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -14.918750000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.1875,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -29.140000000000008,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 322,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 20,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17933333333333323,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2835,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.213492063492069,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}