Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Gabriela Knutson
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 02:00
03 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Leyre …: 58,3%
Gabriela …: 41,8%
¿Por qué Leyre Romero Gormaz?
UTR 11,64 vs 11,68
(+0,06)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Leyre … | Gabriela … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,67 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,97 | 1,74 | 50,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,72 | 2,40 | 58,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Leyre …: +14,0%
Gabriela …: -14,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Ranking
#141
UTR Rating
11,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#201
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/8 = 50,0%
Gabriela Knutson
Ranking
#176
UTR Rating
11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#193
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 45,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3214 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2787 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 140,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 32,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,4907 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,9722 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,7443 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,2775 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 16,1100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,0625 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 21,3350 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2750 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -4,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,1400 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 67,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3877 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0033 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,7871 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0450 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0550 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4282 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,5141 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20970
API ID
15305778
Gamdom ID
566981
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20970,
"api_id": 15305778,
"gamdom_id": 566981,
"player1": "Leyre Romero Gormaz",
"player2": "Gabriela Knutson",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-02T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.6666666666666665
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.97,
"p2": 1.74
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.03,
"p2": 1.74
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5825,
"prob_p2": 0.4175,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5825,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 141,
"utr_singles": 11.64,
"utr_ranking": 201,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 176,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 193,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.64,
"ranking": 201,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.68,
"ranking": 193,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4352941176470587,
"utr_p2": 0.4282352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.05999999999999872,
"rank_ratio": 1.3214285714285714,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": 140,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.062499999999993,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -3.9999999999999964,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.5141388174807088,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 32,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2787134024690205,
"rank_advantage": 45,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 21.335,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.744250000000001,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.275,
"combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.277499999999996,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.387737984190041,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.003328877805032,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.787134024690205,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.97222222222222,
"second_serve_won_diff": 16.11,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.140000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 67,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04499999999999993,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05500000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.490740740740741,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}