Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Gabriela Knutson
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Leyre …: 58,3% Gabriela …: 41,8%
¿Por qué Leyre Romero Gormaz?
UTR 11,64 vs 11,68 (+0,06) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Leyre … Gabriela … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,67 47,6%
Gamdom 1,97 1,74 50,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,72 2,40 58,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Leyre …: +14,0% Gabriela …: -14,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Ranking #141
UTR Rating 11,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #201
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/8 = 50,0%
Gabriela Knutson
Ranking #176
UTR Rating 11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #193
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 45,0000
rank_ratio 1,3214
log_rank_ratio 0,2787
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 140,0000
best_rank_diff 32,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,4907
surface_matches_ratio 1,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,9722
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,3867
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,7443
first_serve_won_diff -5,2775
second_serve_won_diff 16,1100
bp_saved_diff -4,0625
bp_converted_diff 21,3350
aces_per_match_diff 1,2750
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -4,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,1400
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 67,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 22,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,3877
serve_consistency_p2 9,0033
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,7871
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0450
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0550
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0600
utr_p1 0,4353
utr_p2 0,4282
utr_advantage 0,5141
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20970
API ID 15305778
Gamdom ID 566981
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20970,
    "api_id": 15305778,
    "gamdom_id": 566981,
    "player1": "Leyre Romero Gormaz",
    "player2": "Gabriela Knutson",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-02T22:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.6666666666666665
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.97,
      "p2": 1.74
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.03,
      "p2": 1.74
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5825,
    "prob_p2": 0.4175,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5825,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 141,
      "utr_singles": 11.64,
      "utr_ranking": 201,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 176,
      "utr_singles": 11.68,
      "utr_ranking": 193,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.64,
      "ranking": 201,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.68,
      "ranking": 193,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4352941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.4282352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.05999999999999872,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3214285714285714,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 140,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.062499999999993,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -3.9999999999999964,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.5141388174807088,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 32,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2787134024690205,
    "rank_advantage": 45,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 21.335,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.744250000000001,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.275,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.277499999999996,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.387737984190041,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.003328877805032,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.787134024690205,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.97222222222222,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 16.11,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.140000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 67,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04499999999999993,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05500000000000005,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.490740740740741,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}