Sinja Kraus vs Anastasija Sevastova
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 03:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sinja Kraus
Sinja …: 56,0% Anastasija …: 44,0%
¿Por qué Sinja Kraus?
UTR 11,81 vs 11,57 (+0,08) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sinja … Anastasija … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,47 1,48 40,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,78 2,27 56,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Sinja …: +20,5% Anastasija …: -20,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sinja Kraus
Ranking #106
UTR Rating 11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #154
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 4/8 = 50,0%
Anastasija Sevastova
Ranking #186
UTR Rating 11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #226
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 6/12 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 78,0000
rank_ratio 1,7091
log_rank_ratio 0,5360
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 327,0000
best_rank_diff -94,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,5778
surface_matches_ratio 0,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,2254
first_serve_won_diff 0,0417
second_serve_won_diff -2,0958
bp_saved_diff -8,0083
bp_converted_diff 7,4917
aces_per_match_diff 0,9167
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 68,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 42,4200
current_streak_diff 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 62,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 22,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4800
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 9,8131
serve_consistency_p2 4,1120
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0780
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0780
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0800
utr_p1 0,4518
utr_p2 0,4424
utr_advantage 0,6780
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20972
API ID 15305776
Gamdom ID 566976
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20972,
    "api_id": 15305776,
    "gamdom_id": 566976,
    "player1": "Sinja Kraus",
    "player2": "Anastasija Sevastova",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-02T23:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.47,
      "p2": 1.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.59,
      "p2": 1.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5603,
    "prob_p2": 0.4397,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5603,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 106,
      "utr_singles": 11.81,
      "utr_ranking": 154,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 186,
      "utr_singles": 11.57,
      "utr_ranking": 226,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.81,
      "ranking": 154,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.57,
      "ranking": 226,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4517647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.44235294117647056,
    "utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.709090909090909,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 327,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.008333333333333,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 67.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.6779661016949159,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -94,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5359615970375329,
    "rank_advantage": 78,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.491666666666667,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.2254166666666677,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.48,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.9166666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.041666666666671404,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.813130681353657,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.111986686179599,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.0958333333333243,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 42.42,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07800000000000007,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07800000000000007,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.5777777777777757,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}