Sinja Kraus vs Anastasija Sevastova
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 03:40
03 Ene 2026, 03:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sinja Kraus
Sinja …: 56,0%
Anastasija …: 44,0%
¿Por qué Sinja Kraus?
UTR 11,81 vs 11,57
(+0,08)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sinja … | Anastasija … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,47 | 1,48 | 40,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,78 | 2,27 | 56,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sinja …: +20,5%
Anastasija …: -20,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sinja Kraus
Ranking
#106
UTR Rating
11,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#154
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
4/8 = 50,0%
Anastasija Sevastova
Ranking
#186
UTR Rating
11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#226
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/12 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 78,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7091 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5360 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 327,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -94,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,5778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,2254 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0417 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,0958 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,0083 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,4917 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,9167 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 68,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 42,4200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4800 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,8131 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,1120 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0780 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0780 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4424 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,6780 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20972
API ID
15305776
Gamdom ID
566976
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20972,
"api_id": 15305776,
"gamdom_id": 566976,
"player1": "Sinja Kraus",
"player2": "Anastasija Sevastova",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-02T23:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.47,
"p2": 1.48
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.59,
"p2": 1.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5603,
"prob_p2": 0.4397,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5603,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 106,
"utr_singles": 11.81,
"utr_ranking": 154,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 186,
"utr_singles": 11.57,
"utr_ranking": 226,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.81,
"ranking": 154,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.57,
"ranking": 226,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.44235294117647056,
"utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 1.709090909090909,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": 327,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.008333333333333,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 67.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.6779661016949159,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -94,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5359615970375329,
"rank_advantage": 78,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.491666666666667,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.2254166666666677,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.48,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9166666666666665,
"combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": 6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.041666666666671404,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.813130681353657,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.111986686179599,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.0958333333333243,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 42.42,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07800000000000007,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07800000000000007,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.5777777777777757,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}