Yeonwoo Ku vs Alina Charaeva
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alina Charaeva
Yeonwoo …: 20,3% Alina …: 79,7%
¿Por qué Alina Charaeva?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yeonwoo … Alina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,50 2,43 66,7%
IA Fair Odds 4,94 1,25 20,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Yeonwoo …: -42,2% Alina …: +42,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yeonwoo Ku
Ranking #188
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Alina Charaeva
Ranking #163
UTR Rating 11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #212
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 5/11 = 45,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -27,0000
rank_ratio 0,8594
log_rank_ratio -0,1515
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -64,0000
best_rank_diff -50,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -45,4545
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -16,2133
surface_matches_ratio 0,0909
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 45,4545
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,6667
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,3800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -15,5300
first_serve_won_diff -22,6545
second_serve_won_diff 4,1727
bp_saved_diff -2,1182
bp_converted_diff 18,3636
aces_per_match_diff -2,7273
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,1157
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 81,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 24,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,9856
serve_consistency_p2 6,1164
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,8886
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4730
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0725
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4294
utr_p2 0,4294
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20974
API ID 15305775
Gamdom ID 566979
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20974,
    "api_id": 15305775,
    "gamdom_id": 566979,
    "player1": "Yeonwoo Ku",
    "player2": "Alina Charaeva",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-03T01:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.43
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.49,
      "p2": 2.52
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2026,
    "prob_p2": 0.7974,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7974,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 188,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 163,
      "utr_singles": 11.61,
      "utr_ranking": 212,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.61,
      "ranking": 212,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4294117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.859375,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -64,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.1181818181818244,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 45.45454545454545,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -50,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.15154989812720093,
    "rank_advantage": -27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -45.45454545454545,
    "bp_converted_diff": 18.363636363636374,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "serve_quality_diff": -15.529999999999994,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.727272727272727,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -22.65454545454545,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.98556183301946,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.116356641668374,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 6.888631733054588,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.172727272727279,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.09090909090909091,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.115714285714283,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 81,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.473,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0724545454545455,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.21333333333333,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}