Yeonwoo Ku vs Alina Charaeva
Auckland | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 05:45
03 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alina Charaeva
Yeonwoo …: 20,3%
Alina …: 79,7%
¿Por qué Alina Charaeva?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yeonwoo … | Alina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,50 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,50 | 2,43 | 66,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,94 | 1,25 | 20,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yeonwoo …: -42,2%
Alina …: +42,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yeonwoo Ku
Ranking
#188
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Alina Charaeva
Ranking
#163
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#212
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
5/11 = 45,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8594 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1515 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -64,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -50,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -45,4545 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -16,2133 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0909 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45,4545 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -15,5300 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -22,6545 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,1727 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,1182 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 18,3636 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,7273 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,1157 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 81,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 24,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,9856 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1164 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,8886 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4730 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0725 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4294 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20974
API ID
15305775
Gamdom ID
566979
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20974,
"api_id": 15305775,
"gamdom_id": 566979,
"player1": "Yeonwoo Ku",
"player2": "Alina Charaeva",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-03T01:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.43
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.52
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2026,
"prob_p2": 0.7974,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7974,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 188,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 163,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 212,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.61,
"ranking": 212,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.859375,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -64,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.1181818181818244,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.45454545454545,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -50,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.15154989812720093,
"rank_advantage": -27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -45.45454545454545,
"bp_converted_diff": 18.363636363636374,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"serve_quality_diff": -15.529999999999994,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.727272727272727,
"combined_confidence": 0.38,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -22.65454545454545,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.98556183301946,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.116356641668374,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.888631733054588,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.172727272727279,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.09090909090909091,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.115714285714283,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 81,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.473,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0724545454545455,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.21333333333333,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}