Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Shintaro Mochizuki
United Cup | Hard |
02 Ene 2026, 15:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos …: 63,0% Shintaro …: 37,0%
¿Por qué Stefanos Tsitsipas?
UTR 15,45 vs 14,58 (+1,07) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Stefanos … Shintaro … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,20 73,5%
Gamdom 1,41 2,95 70,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,59 2,70 63,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Stefanos …: -7,2% Shintaro …: +7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking #35
UTR Rating 15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking #30
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 13/23 = 56,5%
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking #112
UTR Rating 14,58 Pro
UTR Ranking #150
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 26/43 = 60,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 63,0000
rank_ratio 2,7500
log_rank_ratio 1,0116
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 733,0000
best_rank_diff 89,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,9434
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,5500
surface_matches_ratio 0,5349
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,5217
surface_wr_p2 60,4651
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,5556
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,5745
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 43,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1304
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 16,8035
first_serve_won_diff 9,7100
second_serve_won_diff 6,0973
bp_saved_diff 2,2855
bp_converted_diff -5,7092
aces_per_match_diff 5,0597
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,5260
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 126,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 60,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2295
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7342
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6154
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2857
serve_consistency_p1 8,3157
serve_consistency_p2 10,4178
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,9891
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0022
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1677
elite_surface_amplifier -3,9434
UTR
utr_diff 1,0700
utr_p1 0,9059
utr_p2 0,7800
utr_advantage 7,0557
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20979
API ID 15141905
Gamdom ID 479599
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20979,
    "api_id": 15141905,
    "gamdom_id": 479599,
    "player1": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
    "player2": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-02T11:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3599999999999999,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 2.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.39,
      "p2": 2.97
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.63,
    "prob_p2": 0.37,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.63,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 35,
      "utr_singles": 15.45,
      "utr_ranking": 30,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 112,
      "utr_singles": 14.58,
      "utr_ranking": 150,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.46511627906976,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.45,
      "ranking": 30,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.58,
      "ranking": 150,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.7800000000000001,
    "utr_diff": 1.0699999999999985,
    "rank_ratio": 2.75,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 733,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.285540950455008,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.52173913043478,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.46511627906976,
    "utr_advantage": 7.055720408836126,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 89,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0116009116784799,
    "rank_advantage": 63,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.94337714863498,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.709201213346816,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 43,
    "serve_quality_diff": 16.803498483316474,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2295081967213115,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7341772151898734,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.059656218402426,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.71001011122344,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13043478260869565,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.31568123960183,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.417828128248603,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.98912391865123,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.57446808510638,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.097269969666321,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5348837209302325,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.525999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -3.94337714863498,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 126,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 60,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0022173913043478377,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16765116279069758,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.5500394011032284,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}