Elise Mertens vs Lin Zhu
United Cup | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 03:30
03 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elise Mertens
Elise …: 73,9%
Lin …: 26,1%
¿Por qué Elise Mertens?
UTR 12,45 vs 11,79
(+0,73)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elise … | Lin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,20 | 73,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,43 | 2,85 | 69,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,35 | 3,84 | 73,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Elise …: +3,8%
Lin …: -3,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
12,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Lin Zhu
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 148,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 8,4000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,1282 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1540,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,3153 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,3401 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0714 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,1724 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1034 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,9835 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,2167 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,7490 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 66,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8182 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5484 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0627 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,9581 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 26,2098 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0963 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0766 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 36,9458 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5224 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4365 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,0455 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20980
API ID
15141934
Gamdom ID
479620
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20980,
"api_id": 15141934,
"gamdom_id": 479620,
"player1": "Elise Mertens",
"player2": "Lin Zhu",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-02T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3599999999999999,
"p2": 3.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 2.9
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7393,
"prob_p2": 0.2607,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7393,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 12.45,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 11.79,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.45,
"ranking": 27,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.79,
"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5223529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.4364705882352942,
"utr_diff": 0.7299999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 8.4,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 1540,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.199999999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 21.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.172413793103445,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 6.045548654244295,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.128231705849268,
"rank_advantage": 148,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.31527093596059,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.7999999999999972,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.98349753694582,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8181818181818182,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5483870967741935,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.2167487684729066,
"combined_confidence": 0.7266666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.200000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.062696478698236,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.95814664305694,
"surface_rank_synergy": 26.20975007203532,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0714285714285716,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.749000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 36.94581280788177,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 78,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 66,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09627586206896555,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07657142857142857,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.340067340067337,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}