Zizou Bergs vs Zhizhen Zhang
United Cup | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 05:15
03 Ene 2026, 05:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zizou Bergs
Zizou …: 84,6%
Zhizhen …: 15,4%
¿Por qué Zizou Bergs?
UTR 15,15 vs 14,78
(+0,42)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Zizou … | Zhizhen … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,63 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,63 | 2,29 | 61,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,18 | 6,49 | 84,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Zizou …: +20,9%
Zhizhen …: -20,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zizou Bergs
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#72
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/39 = 59,0%
Zhizhen Zhang
Ranking
#368
UTR Rating
14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#113
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
4/16 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 368,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 9,7619 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,2785 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1093,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -8,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 33,9744 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 21,5736 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,4375 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,9744 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,1395 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1795 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,0734 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,8135 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,8269 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,9423 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,9269 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6074 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 24,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 28,1650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 65,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 93,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6713 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0732 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2292 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9686 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 77,4102 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2783 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1180 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 101,9231 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8141 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,7759 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20981
API ID
15141936
Gamdom ID
479619
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20981,
"api_id": 15141936,
"gamdom_id": 479619,
"player1": "Zizou Bergs",
"player2": "Zhizhen Zhang",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-03T01:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.63
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.63,
"p2": 2.29
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.26
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.846,
"prob_p2": 0.154,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.846,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 43,
"utr_singles": 15.15,
"utr_ranking": 72,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.97435897435898,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 368,
"utr_singles": 14.78,
"utr_ranking": 113,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 72,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 113,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 9.761904761904763,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": 1093,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.942307692307693,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 24.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.97435897435898,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 2.7759418374091207,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -8,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.2784875414149854,
"rank_advantage": 368,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 33.97435897435898,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.926923076923082,
"p1_surface_matches": 39,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.0733974358974336,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6713286713286714,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0731707317073171,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.6073717948717947,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.8134615384615387,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1794871794871795,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.229193466970966,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.968581289509208,
"surface_rank_synergy": 77.41015365063734,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.139534883720934,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.826923076923066,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.4375,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 28.165,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 101.92307692307693,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 65,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 93,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.27825641025641024,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.118,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 21.573643410852714,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}