Zizou Bergs vs Zhizhen Zhang
United Cup | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 05:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zizou Bergs
Zizou …: 84,6% Zhizhen …: 15,4%
¿Por qué Zizou Bergs?
UTR 15,15 vs 14,78 (+0,42) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zizou … Zhizhen … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,63 66,7%
Gamdom 1,63 2,29 61,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,18 6,49 84,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Zizou …: +20,9% Zhizhen …: -20,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zizou Bergs
Ranking #43
UTR Rating 15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #72
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 23/39 = 59,0%
Zhizhen Zhang
Ranking #368
UTR Rating 14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #113
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 4/16 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 368,0000
rank_ratio 9,7619
log_rank_ratio 2,2785
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1093,0000
best_rank_diff -8,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 33,9744
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 21,5736
surface_matches_ratio 2,4375
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,9744
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,1395
surface_wr_p2_stable 30,0000
p1_surface_matches 39,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1795
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,0734
first_serve_won_diff -0,8135
second_serve_won_diff 1,8269
bp_saved_diff -8,9423
bp_converted_diff 5,9269
aces_per_match_diff -1,6074
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 24,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 28,1650
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 65,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 93,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6713
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0732
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5385
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1667
serve_consistency_p1 5,2292
serve_consistency_p2 6,9686
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 77,4102
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2783
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1180
elite_surface_amplifier 101,9231
UTR
utr_diff 0,4200
utr_p1 0,8635
utr_p2 0,8141
utr_advantage 2,7759
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20981
API ID 15141936
Gamdom ID 479619
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20981,
    "api_id": 15141936,
    "gamdom_id": 479619,
    "player1": "Zizou Bergs",
    "player2": "Zhizhen Zhang",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-03T01:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.63
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.63,
      "p2": 2.29
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.26
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.846,
    "prob_p2": 0.154,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.846,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 43,
      "utr_singles": 15.15,
      "utr_ranking": 72,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.97435897435898,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 368,
      "utr_singles": 14.78,
      "utr_ranking": 113,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.15,
      "ranking": 72,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.78,
      "ranking": 113,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8635294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.8141176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 9.761904761904763,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 1093,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.942307692307693,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 24.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.97435897435898,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.7759418374091207,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -8,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.2784875414149854,
    "rank_advantage": 368,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 33.97435897435898,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.926923076923082,
    "p1_surface_matches": 39,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.0733974358974336,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6713286713286714,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0731707317073171,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6073717948717947,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.8134615384615387,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1794871794871795,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.229193466970966,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.968581289509208,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 77.41015365063734,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.139534883720934,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.826923076923066,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.4375,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 28.165,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 101.92307692307693,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 65,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 93,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.27825641025641024,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.118,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 21.573643410852714,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}