Leolia Jeanjean vs Belinda Bencic
United Cup | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 06:00
03 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Belinda Bencic
Leolia …: 29,8%
Belinda …: 70,2%
¿Por qué Belinda Bencic?
UTR 11,85 vs 12,48
(-0,55)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Leolia … | Belinda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,50 | 1,11 | 15,4% |
| Gamdom | 7,00 | 1,10 | 14,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,36 | 1,42 | 29,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Leolia …: +15,2%
Belinda …: -15,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leolia Jeanjean
Ranking
#103
UTR Rating
11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#139
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
13/24 = 54,2%
Belinda Bencic
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#23
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
30/41 = 73,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -92,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1068 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,2368 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2359,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -87,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,0041 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,7857 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5854 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 73,1707 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 71,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0833 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,5946 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,2673 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 27,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 64,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5946 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7130 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,0876 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,1543 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 42,5089 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1337 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1397 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5259 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,5100 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20982
API ID
15290785
Gamdom ID
559672
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20982,
"api_id": 15290785,
"gamdom_id": 559672,
"player1": "Leolia Jeanjean",
"player2": "Belinda Bencic",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-03T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.5,
"p2": 1.1111111111111112
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 6.42,
"p2": 1.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2976,
"prob_p2": 0.7024,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7024,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 103,
"utr_singles": 11.85,
"utr_ranking": 139,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 23,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.17073170731707,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.85,
"ranking": 139,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 23,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4611764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.5258823529411766,
"utr_diff": -0.5500000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.10679611650485436,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -2359,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.3999999999999844,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -41.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.166666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 73.17073170731707,
"utr_advantage": -4.51004510045101,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -87,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.236833715431265,
"rank_advantage": -92,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.00406504065041,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.5945528455284546,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5945945945945946,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7130434782608696,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.2672764227642275,
"combined_confidence": 0.9,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.08760186943298,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.154311753181496,
"surface_rank_synergy": 42.50893341317548,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.11111111111111,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.199999999999989,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5853658536585366,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -30.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 27,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 64,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1336666666666666,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13970731707317074,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.78571428571429,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}