Leolia Jeanjean vs Belinda Bencic
United Cup | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Belinda Bencic
Leolia …: 29,8% Belinda …: 70,2%
¿Por qué Belinda Bencic?
UTR 11,85 vs 12,48 (-0,55) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Leolia … Belinda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 6,50 1,11 15,4%
Gamdom 7,00 1,10 14,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,36 1,42 29,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Leolia …: +15,2% Belinda …: -15,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leolia Jeanjean
Ranking #103
UTR Rating 11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #139
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 13/24 = 54,2%
Belinda Bencic
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #23
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 30/41 = 73,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -92,0000
rank_ratio 0,1068
log_rank_ratio -2,2368
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -2359,0000
best_rank_diff -87,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -19,0041
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,7857
surface_matches_ratio 0,5854
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,1667
surface_wr_p2 73,1707
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 71,1111
p1_surface_matches 24,0000
p2_surface_matches 41,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0833
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,5946
first_serve_won_diff -1,0000
second_serve_won_diff 5,2000
bp_saved_diff -3,4000
bp_converted_diff -0,4000
aces_per_match_diff 0,2673
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -30,0000
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 27,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 64,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5946
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7130
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 11,0876
serve_consistency_p2 10,1543
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 42,5089
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1337
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1397
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5500
utr_p1 0,4612
utr_p2 0,5259
utr_advantage -4,5100
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20982
API ID 15290785
Gamdom ID 559672
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20982,
    "api_id": 15290785,
    "gamdom_id": 559672,
    "player1": "Leolia Jeanjean",
    "player2": "Belinda Bencic",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-03T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 6.5,
      "p2": 1.1111111111111112
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 7.0,
      "p2": 1.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 6.42,
      "p2": 1.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2976,
    "prob_p2": 0.7024,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7024,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 103,
      "utr_singles": 11.85,
      "utr_ranking": 139,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 10,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 23,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 73.17073170731707,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.85,
      "ranking": 139,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 23,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4611764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.5258823529411766,
    "utr_diff": -0.5500000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.10679611650485436,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -2359,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.3999999999999844,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -41.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.166666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 73.17073170731707,
    "utr_advantage": -4.51004510045101,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -87,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.236833715431265,
    "rank_advantage": -92,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -19.00406504065041,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 24,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.5945528455284546,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5945945945945946,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7130434782608696,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.2672764227642275,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.08760186943298,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.154311753181496,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 42.50893341317548,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.11111111111111,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.199999999999989,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5853658536585366,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 27,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 64,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1336666666666666,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13970731707317074,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.78571428571429,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}