Arthur Rinderknech vs Stan Wawrinka
United Cup | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 08:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stan Wawrinka
Arthur …: 47,9% Stan …: 52,1%
¿Por qué Stan Wawrinka?
UTR 15,47 vs 14,64 (+1,06) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Arthur … Stan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,20 73,5%
Gamdom 1,44 2,80 69,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,09 1,92 47,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Arthur …: -22,3% Stan …: +22,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Rinderknech
Ranking #28
UTR Rating 15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #28
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 16/35 = 45,7%
Stan Wawrinka
Ranking #139
UTR Rating 14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #139
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 10/20 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 128,0000
rank_ratio 5,4138
log_rank_ratio 1,6889
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1130,0000
best_rank_diff -24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,2857
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,2051
surface_matches_ratio 1,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 45,7143
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 46,1538
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0857
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,2683
first_serve_won_diff -3,8543
second_serve_won_diff -1,4914
bp_saved_diff 6,8514
bp_converted_diff -0,2229
aces_per_match_diff 4,3214
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -16,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,8400
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 59,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 58,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0818
winner_ue_ratio_p2 2,4615
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 5,1127
serve_consistency_p2 8,1883
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,2384
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1709
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1280
elite_surface_amplifier -8,5714
UTR
utr_diff 1,0600
utr_p1 0,9094
utr_p2 0,7847
utr_advantage 6,9737
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20984
API ID 15141907
Gamdom ID 479603
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20984,
    "api_id": 15141907,
    "gamdom_id": 479603,
    "player1": "Arthur Rinderknech",
    "player2": "Stan Wawrinka",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-03T04:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3599999999999999,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.76
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4791,
    "prob_p2": 0.5209,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5209,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 28,
      "utr_singles": 15.47,
      "utr_ranking": 28,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.714285714285715,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 139,
      "utr_singles": 14.64,
      "utr_ranking": 139,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.47,
      "ranking": 28,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.64,
      "ranking": 139,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9094117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.7847058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 1.0600000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 5.413793103448276,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 1130,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.851428571428585,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -16.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.714285714285715,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 6.9736842105263195,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -24,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.688949975361834,
    "rank_advantage": 128,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.285714285714285,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.2228571428571371,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.26828571428571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0818181818181818,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 2.4615384615384617,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.321428571428571,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.8542857142856946,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.08571428571428572,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.112713783186262,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.18832184779795,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.2383570372650015,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.15384615384615,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.4914285714285782,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -14.84000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -8.57142857142857,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 59,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 58,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17085714285714287,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.128,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.2051282051282053,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}