Maya Joint vs Malene Helgo
United Cup | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maya Joint
Maya …: 96,8% Malene …: 3,2%
¿Por qué Maya Joint?
UTR 12,15 vs 10,96 (+1,20) — Ligera ventaja
Maya …
Sin datos
Malene …
W23-L26
47% WR
vs UTR 10,9
L4
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Maya … Malene … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,04 13,00 96,2%
Gamdom 1,02 14,00 98,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,03 31,55 96,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Maya …: +4,2% Malene …: -4,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maya Joint
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #68
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 29/47 = 61,7%
Malene Helgo
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,96 Pro
UTR Ranking #520
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/3 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Maya Joint
Sin datos UTR v4
Malene Helgo
Record 2025 23W - 26L (47%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 10,9
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 468,0000
rank_ratio 15,6250
log_rank_ratio 2,7489
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1539,0000
best_rank_diff 468,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 61,7021
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 34,9826
surface_matches_ratio 15,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,7021
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,7843
surface_wr_p2_stable 8,5714
p1_surface_matches 47,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2340
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,6700
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,7016
first_serve_won_diff 9,5085
second_serve_won_diff 24,1979
bp_saved_diff -0,7000
bp_converted_diff -52,4511
aces_per_match_diff -0,1560
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 58,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 45,4086
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 63,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 279,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4054
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,6884
serve_consistency_p2 5,6061
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 169,6113
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3510
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0320
elite_surface_amplifier 185,1064
UTR
utr_diff 1,2000
utr_p1 0,4918
utr_p2 0,3506
utr_advantage 10,3627
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20985
API ID 15141933
Gamdom ID 479621
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20985,
    "api_id": 15141933,
    "gamdom_id": 479621,
    "player1": "Maya Joint",
    "player2": "Malene Helgo",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-03T06:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.04,
      "p2": 13.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 14.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.03,
      "p2": 13.98
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9683,
    "prob_p2": 0.0317,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9683,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 31,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 68,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.702127659574465,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.96,
      "utr_ranking": 520,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 23,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.93877551020408,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.46,
          "opponent_name": "Anna Siskova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.76,
          "opponent_name": "Bernarda Pera"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Heerae Im"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.75,
          "opponent_name": "Hanyu Guo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.16,
          "opponent_name": "Alyssa Reguer"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.181511+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 68,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 520,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.3505882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 1.1999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 15.625,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 1539,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.70000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 57.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.702127659574465,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 10.362694300518129,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 468,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.7488721956224653,
    "rank_advantage": 468,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 61.702127659574465,
    "bp_converted_diff": -52.45106382978724,
    "p1_surface_matches": 47,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.701560283687932,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40540540540540543,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.15602836879432624,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6699999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.50851063829787,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.688355619970177,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.606060606060602,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 169.6112631341521,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.78431372549019,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 8.571428571428571,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 24.19787234042553,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 15.666666666666666,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 45.408571428571435,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 185.1063829787234,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 63,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 279,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3509787234042553,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03200000000000003,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 34.982633053221285,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}