Maya Joint vs Malene Helgo
United Cup | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 10:30
03 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maya Joint
Maya …: 96,8%
Malene …: 3,2%
¿Por qué Maya Joint?
UTR 12,15 vs 10,96
(+1,20)
— Ligera ventaja
Maya …
Sin datos
Malene …
W23-L26
47% WR
vs UTR 10,9
L4
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maya … | Malene … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,04 | 13,00 | 96,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,02 | 14,00 | 98,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,03 | 31,55 | 96,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Maya …: +4,2%
Malene …: -4,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maya Joint
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#68
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
29/47 = 61,7%
Malene Helgo
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,96 Pro
UTR Ranking
#520
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
0/3 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Maya Joint
Sin datos UTR v4
Malene Helgo
Record 2025
23W - 26L (47%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
10,9
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 468,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 15,6250 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,7489 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1539,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 468,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 61,7021 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 34,9826 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 15,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,7021 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,7843 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 8,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2340 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6700 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,7016 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9,5085 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 24,1979 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -52,4511 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1560 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 58,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 45,4086 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 63,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 279,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4054 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6884 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,6061 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 169,6113 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3510 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0320 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 185,1064 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3506 | |
| utr_advantage | 10,3627 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20985
API ID
15141933
Gamdom ID
479621
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20985,
"api_id": 15141933,
"gamdom_id": 479621,
"player1": "Maya Joint",
"player2": "Malene Helgo",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-03T06:30:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.04,
"p2": 13.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 14.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.03,
"p2": 13.98
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9683,
"prob_p2": 0.0317,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9683,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 31,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 68,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.702127659574465,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.96,
"utr_ranking": 520,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 23,
"utr_v4_losses": 26,
"utr_v4_wr": 46.93877551020408,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.88,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.46,
"opponent_name": "Anna Siskova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.76,
"opponent_name": "Bernarda Pera"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Heerae Im"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.75,
"opponent_name": "Hanyu Guo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.16,
"opponent_name": "Alyssa Reguer"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.181511+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 68,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.96,
"ranking": 520,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.3505882352941177,
"utr_diff": 1.1999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 15.625,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 1539,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.70000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 57.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.702127659574465,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 10.362694300518129,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 468,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.7488721956224653,
"rank_advantage": 468,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 61.702127659574465,
"bp_converted_diff": -52.45106382978724,
"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.701560283687932,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40540540540540543,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.15602836879432624,
"combined_confidence": 0.6699999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.50851063829787,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23404255319148937,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.688355619970177,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.606060606060602,
"surface_rank_synergy": 169.6112631341521,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.78431372549019,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 8.571428571428571,
"second_serve_won_diff": 24.19787234042553,
"surface_matches_ratio": 15.666666666666666,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 45.408571428571435,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 185.1063829787234,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 63,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 279,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3509787234042553,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03200000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 34.982633053221285,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}