Taylor Fritz vs Sebastián Báez
United Cup | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taylor Fritz
Taylor …: 95,0% Sebastián …: 5,0%
¿Por qué Taylor Fritz?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Taylor … Sebastián … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,03 15,00 97,1%
Gamdom 1,06 9,20 94,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,05 19,96 95,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Taylor …: +1,4% Sebastián …: -1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Fritz
Ranking #9
UTR Rating 15,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #11
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 34/50 = 68,0%
Sebastián Báez
Ranking #36
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 3/14 = 21,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 39,0000
rank_ratio 7,5000
log_rank_ratio 2,0149
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2940,0000
best_rank_diff 14,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 46,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 28,9074
surface_matches_ratio 3,5714
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 68,0000
surface_wr_p2 21,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 66,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 27,7778
p1_surface_matches 50,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3600
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 26,8743
first_serve_won_diff 8,8309
second_serve_won_diff 5,6437
bp_saved_diff 16,6906
bp_converted_diff -6,0763
aces_per_match_diff 10,3829
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,5150
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 50,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2213
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5441
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5172
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,6432
serve_consistency_p2 5,5239
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 93,8369
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1410
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2467
elite_surface_amplifier 93,1429
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,9318
utr_p2 0,9318
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20987
API ID 15141902
Gamdom ID 479604
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20987,
    "api_id": 15141902,
    "gamdom_id": 479604,
    "player1": "Taylor Fritz",
    "player2": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-03T10:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0303030303030303,
      "p2": 15.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.06,
      "p2": 9.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 21.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9499,
    "prob_p2": 0.0501,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9499,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 9,
      "utr_singles": 15.71,
      "utr_ranking": 11,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 36,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 21.428571428571427,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.71,
      "ranking": 11,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9317647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.9317647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 7.5,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 2940,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 16.690571428571424,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 68.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 21.428571428571427,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 14,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.0149030205422647,
    "rank_advantage": 39,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5172413793103449,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 46.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.07628571428571,
    "p1_surface_matches": 50,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 26.874257142857132,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.221276595744681,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5441176470588235,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 10.382857142857143,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 8.830857142857127,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.36,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.643154227740821,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.523868226969932,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 93.83691209953975,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 27.77777777777778,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.643714285714289,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.5714285714285716,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.515000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 93.14285714285714,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 50,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14100000000000013,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2467142857142858,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 28.9074074074074,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}