Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra
United Cup | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 17:05
03 Ene 2026, 17:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 80,3%
Solana …: 19,8%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,06
(+0,76)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Coco … | Solana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,13 | 6,00 | 88,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,10 | 7,20 | 90,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,25 | 5,06 | 80,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Coco …: -4,0%
Solana …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
25/36 = 69,4%
Solana Sierra
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#89
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 63,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 22,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,0910 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 5785,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 62,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 26,5873 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17,1380 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,5714 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3889 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,6800 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,2786 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,3155 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,7821 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 13,1381 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6230 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3,9150 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 57,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6609 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,2216 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0955 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 82,1825 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1314 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0084 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 79,7619 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,1192 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20988
API ID
15141896
Gamdom ID
479605
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20988,
"api_id": 15141896,
"gamdom_id": 479605,
"player1": "Coco Gauff",
"player2": "Solana Sierra",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-03T13:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.125,
"p2": 6.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.1,
"p2": 7.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.1,
"p2": 7.06
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8025,
"prob_p2": 0.1975,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8025,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 12.77,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 63,
"utr_singles": 12.06,
"utr_ranking": 89,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.77,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.06,
"ranking": 89,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_diff": 0.7600000000000016,
"rank_ratio": 22.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 5785,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.782142857142837,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 6.119162640901784,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 62,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.091042453358316,
"rank_advantage": 63,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 26.58730158730159,
"bp_converted_diff": 13.13809523809524,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.679960317460306,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.623015873015873,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.27857142857141,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.2216002113238305,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.095489138629134,
"surface_rank_synergy": 82.18247792659015,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.315476190476183,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.5714285714285716,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.9150000000000063,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 79.76190476190476,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 57,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13144444444444447,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.008428571428571507,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.137962962962966,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}