Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra
United Cup | Hard |
03 Ene 2026, 17:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 80,3% Solana …: 19,8%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,06 (+0,76) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coco … Solana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,13 6,00 88,9%
Gamdom 1,10 7,20 90,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,25 5,06 80,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Coco …: -4,0% Solana …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/36 = 69,4%
Solana Sierra
Ranking #63
UTR Rating 12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #89
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 63,0000
rank_ratio 22,0000
log_rank_ratio 3,0910
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 5785,0000
best_rank_diff 62,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 26,5873
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 17,1380
surface_matches_ratio 2,5714
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,4444
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 67,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3889
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,6800
first_serve_won_diff 8,2786
second_serve_won_diff 4,3155
bp_saved_diff 0,7821
bp_converted_diff 13,1381
aces_per_match_diff 0,6230
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,9150
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 57,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 3,2216
serve_consistency_p2 10,0955
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 82,1825
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1314
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0084
elite_surface_amplifier 79,7619
UTR
utr_diff 0,7600
utr_p1 0,5647
utr_p2 0,4753
utr_advantage 6,1192
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20988
API ID 15141896
Gamdom ID 479605
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20988,
    "api_id": 15141896,
    "gamdom_id": 479605,
    "player1": "Coco Gauff",
    "player2": "Solana Sierra",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-03T13:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.125,
      "p2": 6.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 7.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 7.06
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8025,
    "prob_p2": 0.1975,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8025,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 12.77,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 63,
      "utr_singles": 12.06,
      "utr_ranking": 89,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.77,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.06,
      "ranking": 89,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
    "utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_diff": 0.7600000000000016,
    "rank_ratio": 22.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 5785,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.782142857142837,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 6.119162640901784,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 62,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 3.091042453358316,
    "rank_advantage": 63,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 26.58730158730159,
    "bp_converted_diff": 13.13809523809524,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.679960317460306,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.623015873015873,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 8.27857142857141,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.2216002113238305,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.095489138629134,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 82.18247792659015,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.315476190476183,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.5714285714285716,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.9150000000000063,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 79.76190476190476,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 57,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13144444444444447,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.008428571428571507,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.137962962962966,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}