Eva Lys vs Suzan Lamens
United Cup | Hard |
04 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Eva Lys
Eva …: 72,1% Suzan …: 27,9%
¿Por qué Eva Lys?
UTR 12,41 vs 11,90 (+0,46) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Eva … Suzan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,40 75,2%
Gamdom 1,31 3,50 76,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,39 3,58 72,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Eva …: +0,2% Suzan …: -0,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eva Lys
Ranking #39
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #32
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/41 = 61,0%
Suzan Lamens
Ranking #97
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #130
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 20/40 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 49,0000
rank_ratio 2,2250
log_rank_ratio 0,7998
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 466,0000
best_rank_diff 17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,9756
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,0000
surface_matches_ratio 1,0250
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,9756
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 40,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2195
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,1953
first_serve_won_diff -1,2234
second_serve_won_diff 2,8800
bp_saved_diff -0,5400
bp_converted_diff 0,9576
aces_per_match_diff -0,7238
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 25,4400
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 66,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7872
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5950
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 11,0353
serve_consistency_p2 6,9794
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,7778
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0608
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0490
elite_surface_amplifier 10,9756
UTR
utr_diff 0,4600
utr_p1 0,5188
utr_p2 0,4647
utr_advantage 3,7767
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20995
API ID 15141935
Gamdom ID 479623
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20995,
    "api_id": 15141935,
    "gamdom_id": 479623,
    "player1": "Eva Lys",
    "player2": "Suzan Lamens",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-03T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.31,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.721,
    "prob_p2": 0.279,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.721,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 39,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 32,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.97560975609756,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 97,
      "utr_singles": 11.9,
      "utr_ranking": 130,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 32,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.9,
      "ranking": 130,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5188235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.4647058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.46000000000000085,
    "rank_ratio": 2.225,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 466,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.539999999999992,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.97560975609756,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.776683087027922,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7997569156182036,
    "rank_advantage": 49,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.975609756097562,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.9575609756097592,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 40,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.1952682926829326,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7872340425531915,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5950413223140496,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.7237804878048781,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.2234146341463443,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.21951219512195122,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.035273330961768,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.979350749853691,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.77781980556565,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.8799999999999883,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.025,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 25.440000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 10.975609756097562,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 66,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.060756097560975664,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04899999999999993,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}