Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor
United Cup | Hard |
04 Ene 2026, 05:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 71,5% Tallon …: 28,5%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,27 (+0,36) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Tallon … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,33 82,0%
Gamdom 1,36 3,20 73,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,40 3,51 71,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -6,5% Tallon …: +6,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 32/45 = 71,1%
Tallon Griekspoor
Ranking #26
UTR Rating 15,27 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 23,0000
rank_ratio 8,6667
log_rank_ratio 2,1595
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 3545,0000
best_rank_diff 19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 22,7240
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 20,8163
surface_matches_ratio 1,4516
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,1111
surface_wr_p2 48,3871
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,3878
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,5714
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4222
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,3604
first_serve_won_diff -2,5703
second_serve_won_diff 2,0026
bp_saved_diff -4,1630
bp_converted_diff 8,5015
aces_per_match_diff -1,8380
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,8460
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 50,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 3,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,6667
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,6909
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0182
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7363
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6522
serve_consistency_p1 11,5390
serve_consistency_p2 3,4127
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 49,0722
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1881
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0069
elite_surface_amplifier 45,4480
UTR
utr_diff 0,3600
utr_p1 0,9306
utr_p2 0,8882
utr_advantage 2,2886
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20996
API ID 15141937
Gamdom ID 479624
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20996,
    "api_id": 15141937,
    "gamdom_id": 479624,
    "player1": "Alexander Zverev",
    "player2": "Tallon Griekspoor",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-04T01:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.36,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.35,
      "p2": 3.16
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.715,
    "prob_p2": 0.285,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.715,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 15.74,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 26,
      "utr_singles": 15.27,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.74,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.27,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9305882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.8882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 8.666666666666666,
    "h2h_matches": 3,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 3545,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.163010752688166,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
    "utr_advantage": 2.288620470438649,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.159484249353372,
    "rank_advantage": 23,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6521739130434783,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 22.724014336917563,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.501505376344081,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.360372759856645,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7362637362637363,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.8379928315412188,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.5703225806451684,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.39999999999999997,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.6908652540238771,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.538998341691247,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.412665430216246,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 49.07215104265369,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.002580645161288,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4516129032258065,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -14.846000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 45.448028673835125,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 50,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18811111111111112,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.006870967741935519,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.816326530612244,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}