Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor
United Cup | Hard |
04 Ene 2026, 05:40
04 Ene 2026, 05:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 71,5%
Tallon …: 28,5%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,27
(+0,36)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Tallon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,33 | 82,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,36 | 3,20 | 73,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,40 | 3,51 | 71,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -6,5%
Tallon …: +6,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
32/45 = 71,1%
Tallon Griekspoor
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
15,27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 23,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 8,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,1595 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3545,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 22,7240 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 20,8163 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4516 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,3878 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,3604 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,5703 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,0026 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,1630 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,5015 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8380 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,8460 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 67,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 3,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,6909 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0182 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7363 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6522 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,5390 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,4127 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 49,0722 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1881 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0069 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 45,4480 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8882 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,2886 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20996
API ID
15141937
Gamdom ID
479624
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20996,
"api_id": 15141937,
"gamdom_id": 479624,
"player1": "Alexander Zverev",
"player2": "Tallon Griekspoor",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-04T01:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.36,
"p2": 3.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.35,
"p2": 3.16
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.715,
"prob_p2": 0.285,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.715,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 15.74,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 15.27,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.74,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.27,
"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8882352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 8.666666666666666,
"h2h_matches": 3,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 3545,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.163010752688166,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
"utr_advantage": 2.288620470438649,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.159484249353372,
"rank_advantage": 23,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6521739130434783,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 22.724014336917563,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.501505376344081,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.360372759856645,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7362637362637363,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.8379928315412188,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.5703225806451684,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.39999999999999997,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.6908652540238771,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.538998341691247,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.412665430216246,
"surface_rank_synergy": 49.07215104265369,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.002580645161288,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4516129032258065,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.846000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 45.448028673835125,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 50,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18811111111111112,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.006870967741935519,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.816326530612244,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}