Billy Harris vs Shintaro Mochizuki
United Cup | Hard |
04 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shintaro Mochizuki
Billy …: 35,8% Shintaro …: 64,2%
¿Por qué Shintaro Mochizuki?
UTR 14,35 vs 14,58 (-0,32) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Billy … Shintaro … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
Gamdom 2,55 1,51 39,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,79 1,56 35,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Billy …: -9,3% Shintaro …: +9,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Billy Harris
Ranking #121
UTR Rating 14,35 Pro
UTR Ranking #219
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 30/54 = 55,6%
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking #112
UTR Rating 14,58 Pro
UTR Ranking #150
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 26/43 = 60,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -29,0000
rank_ratio 0,7734
log_rank_ratio -0,2569
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -165,0000
best_rank_diff -9,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,9096
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,4021
surface_matches_ratio 1,2558
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 60,4651
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,1724
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,5745
p1_surface_matches 54,0000
p2_surface_matches 43,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,4305
first_serve_won_diff 4,0683
second_serve_won_diff 2,6304
bp_saved_diff 0,5468
bp_converted_diff -5,4207
aces_per_match_diff 3,3036
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,8510
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 63,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 62,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4706
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7342
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4583
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2857
serve_consistency_p1 11,5602
serve_consistency_p2 10,4178
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,2613
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0846
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0757
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3200
utr_p1 0,7424
utr_p2 0,7800
utr_advantage -2,2115
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20997
API ID 15286732
Gamdom ID 558210
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20997,
    "api_id": 15286732,
    "gamdom_id": 558210,
    "player1": "Billy Harris",
    "player2": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-04T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.55,
      "p2": 1.51
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.51
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3584,
    "prob_p2": 0.6416,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6416,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 121,
      "utr_singles": 14.35,
      "utr_ranking": 219,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 54,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 112,
      "utr_singles": 14.58,
      "utr_ranking": 150,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.46511627906976,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.35,
      "ranking": 219,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.58,
      "ranking": 150,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7423529411764707,
    "utr_p2": 0.7800000000000001,
    "utr_diff": -0.3200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7734375,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -165,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.5468130921619263,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.46511627906976,
    "utr_advantage": -2.2114720110573622,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -9,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2569104137850272,
    "rank_advantage": -29,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4583333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.909560723514204,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.420714900947459,
    "p1_surface_matches": 54,
    "p2_surface_matches": 43,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.430495262704554,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7341772151898734,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.3036175710594318,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.068303186907826,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.560225262251514,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.417828128248603,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.2613172769807517,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.172413793103445,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.57446808510638,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.6303617571059306,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.255813953488372,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.850999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 63,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0845555555555556,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07565116279069761,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.402054292002937,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}