Billy Harris vs Shintaro Mochizuki
United Cup | Hard |
04 Ene 2026, 06:00
04 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shintaro Mochizuki
Billy …: 35,8%
Shintaro …: 64,2%
¿Por qué Shintaro Mochizuki?
UTR 14,35 vs 14,58
(-0,32)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Billy … | Shintaro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,55 | 1,51 | 39,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,79 | 1,56 | 35,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Billy …: -9,3%
Shintaro …: +9,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Billy Harris
Ranking
#121
UTR Rating
14,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#219
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
30/54 = 55,6%
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14,58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#150
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
26/43 = 60,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7734 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2569 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -165,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,9096 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,4021 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2558 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,4651 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,1724 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,5745 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 54,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,4305 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,0683 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,6304 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,5468 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,4207 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3036 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,8510 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 63,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7342 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4583 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2857 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,5602 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,4178 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,2613 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0846 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0757 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7800 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,2115 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20997
API ID
15286732
Gamdom ID
558210
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20997,
"api_id": 15286732,
"gamdom_id": 558210,
"player1": "Billy Harris",
"player2": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-04T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.55,
"p2": 1.51
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.51
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3584,
"prob_p2": 0.6416,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6416,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 121,
"utr_singles": 14.35,
"utr_ranking": 219,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 54,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 112,
"utr_singles": 14.58,
"utr_ranking": 150,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.46511627906976,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.35,
"ranking": 219,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.58,
"ranking": 150,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7423529411764707,
"utr_p2": 0.7800000000000001,
"utr_diff": -0.3200000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 0.7734375,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": -165,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.5468130921619263,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.46511627906976,
"utr_advantage": -2.2114720110573622,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2569104137850272,
"rank_advantage": -29,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4583333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.909560723514204,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.420714900947459,
"p1_surface_matches": 54,
"p2_surface_matches": 43,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.430495262704554,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7341772151898734,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.3036175710594318,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.068303186907826,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.560225262251514,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.417828128248603,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.2613172769807517,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.172413793103445,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.57446808510638,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.6303617571059306,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.255813953488372,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.850999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 63,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0845555555555556,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07565116279069761,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.402054292002937,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}