Victoria Mboko vs Lin Zhu
United Cup | Hard |
04 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 93,1% Lin …: 6,9%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
UTR 12,62 vs 11,79 (+0,90) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Victoria … Lin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
Gamdom 1,24 4,10 80,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,07 14,53 93,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Victoria …: +16,9% Lin …: -16,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #13
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 20/26 = 76,9%
Lin Zhu
Ranking #164
UTR Rating 11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #159
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 150,0000
rank_ratio 9,3333
log_rank_ratio 2,2336
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1728,0000
best_rank_diff 13,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 34,0659
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 19,5481
surface_matches_ratio 1,8571
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 76,9231
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 73,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5385
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,6767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 15,1268
first_serve_won_diff 10,4923
second_serve_won_diff 5,6462
bp_saved_diff 11,4077
bp_converted_diff 10,2077
aces_per_match_diff 4,0934
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 72,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 37,6200
current_streak_diff 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 62,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 68,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5484
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 5,0763
serve_consistency_p2 4,9581
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 76,0894
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1192
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0786
elite_surface_amplifier 102,1978
UTR
utr_diff 0,9000
utr_p1 0,5424
utr_p2 0,4365
utr_advantage 7,4013
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21000
API ID 15141939
Gamdom ID 479625
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21000,
    "api_id": 15141939,
    "gamdom_id": 479625,
    "player1": "Victoria Mboko",
    "player2": "Lin Zhu",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-04T06:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 4.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.09
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9312,
    "prob_p2": 0.0688,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9312,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 16,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 13,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 164,
      "utr_singles": 11.79,
      "utr_ranking": 159,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.62,
      "ranking": 13,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.79,
      "ranking": 159,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5423529411764705,
    "utr_p2": 0.4364705882352942,
    "utr_diff": 0.8999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 9.333333333333334,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 1728,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 11.407692307692308,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 71.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 7.4013157894736725,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 13,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.2335922215070942,
    "rank_advantage": 150,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 34.06593406593408,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.207692307692312,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 15.126813186813195,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5483870967741935,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.093406593406593,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 7,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.492307692307705,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.076281908558407,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.95814664305694,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 76.0894053480439,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.646153846153851,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.8571428571428572,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 37.62,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 102.19780219780225,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11923076923076936,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07857142857142857,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.548148148148147,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}