Victoria Mboko vs Lin Zhu
United Cup | Hard |
04 Ene 2026, 10:30
04 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 93,1%
Lin …: 6,9%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
UTR 12,62 vs 11,79
(+0,90)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Victoria … | Lin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,24 | 4,10 | 80,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,07 | 14,53 | 93,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Victoria …: +16,9%
Lin …: -16,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
20/26 = 76,9%
Lin Zhu
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 150,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 9,3333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,2336 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1728,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 34,0659 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19,5481 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,8571 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 76,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 73,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5385 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 15,1268 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,4923 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,6462 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 11,4077 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,2077 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,0934 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 72,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 37,6200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5484 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0763 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,9581 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 76,0894 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1192 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0786 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 102,1978 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4365 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,4013 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21000
API ID
15141939
Gamdom ID
479625
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21000,
"api_id": 15141939,
"gamdom_id": 479625,
"player1": "Victoria Mboko",
"player2": "Lin Zhu",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-04T06:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.24,
"p2": 4.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9312,
"prob_p2": 0.0688,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9312,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 11.79,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.62,
"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.79,
"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5423529411764705,
"utr_p2": 0.4364705882352942,
"utr_diff": 0.8999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 9.333333333333334,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 1728,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 11.407692307692308,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 71.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 7.4013157894736725,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 13,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.2335922215070942,
"rank_advantage": 150,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 34.06593406593408,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.207692307692312,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 15.126813186813195,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5483870967741935,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.093406593406593,
"combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 7,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.492307692307705,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.076281908558407,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.95814664305694,
"surface_rank_synergy": 76.0894053480439,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.646153846153851,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.8571428571428572,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 37.62,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 102.19780219780225,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11923076923076936,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07857142857142857,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.548148148148147,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}