Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zhizhen Zhang
United Cup | Hard |
04 Ene 2026, 12:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix …: 94,5% Zhizhen …: 5,5%
¿Por qué Felix Auger-Aliassime?
UTR 15,92 vs 14,78 (+1,17) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Felix … Zhizhen … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 8,00 92,3%
Gamdom 1,31 3,50 76,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,06 18,18 94,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Felix …: +6,4% Zhizhen …: -6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking #8
UTR Rating 15,92 Pro
UTR Ranking #5
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 37/52 = 71,2%
Zhizhen Zhang
Ranking #368
UTR Rating 14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #113
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 4/16 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 405,0000
rank_ratio 82,0000
log_rank_ratio 4,4067
rank_tier_advantage 5,0000
points_diff 4075,0000
best_rank_diff 26,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 46,1538
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 30,3929
surface_matches_ratio 3,2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,1538
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,6429
surface_wr_p2_stable 30,0000
p1_surface_matches 52,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4231
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,5925
first_serve_won_diff 3,9558
second_serve_won_diff 4,3885
bp_saved_diff 4,5462
bp_converted_diff -0,3692
aces_per_match_diff 2,1490
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 57,9750
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 49,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 94,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0871
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0732
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7600
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1667
serve_consistency_p1 8,3250
serve_consistency_p2 6,9686
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 203,3870
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1935
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1550
elite_surface_amplifier 230,7692
UTR
utr_diff 1,1700
utr_p1 0,9518
utr_p2 0,8141
utr_advantage 7,5460
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21001
API ID 15141938
Gamdom ID 479628
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21001,
    "api_id": 15141938,
    "gamdom_id": 479628,
    "player1": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
    "player2": "Zhizhen Zhang",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-04T08:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 8.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.31,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.74
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.945,
    "prob_p2": 0.055,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.945,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 8,
      "utr_singles": 15.92,
      "utr_ranking": 5,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 52,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 368,
      "utr_singles": 14.78,
      "utr_ranking": 113,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.92,
      "ranking": 5,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.78,
      "ranking": 113,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.951764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.8141176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 1.17,
    "rank_ratio": 82.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 4075,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.546153846153828,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.15384615384616,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.545952918413415,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 26,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 4.406719247264253,
    "rank_advantage": 405,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.76,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 46.15384615384616,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.3692307692307608,
    "p1_surface_matches": 52,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.592500000000001,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0870967741935484,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0731707317073171,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.1490384615384617,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 5,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.955769230769235,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4230769230769231,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.324960429396096,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.968581289509208,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 203.38704218142712,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.64285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.388461538461534,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 57.975,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 230.7692307692308,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 49,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 94,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19346153846153846,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15500000000000003,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 30.39285714285714,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}