Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zhizhen Zhang
United Cup | Hard |
04 Ene 2026, 12:30
04 Ene 2026, 12:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix …: 94,5%
Zhizhen …: 5,5%
¿Por qué Felix Auger-Aliassime?
UTR 15,92 vs 14,78
(+1,17)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Felix … | Zhizhen … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,08 | 8,00 | 92,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,31 | 3,50 | 76,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,06 | 18,18 | 94,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Felix …: +6,4%
Zhizhen …: -6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
15,92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
37/52 = 71,2%
Zhizhen Zhang
Ranking
#368
UTR Rating
14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#113
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
4/16 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 405,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 82,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 4,4067 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 5,0000 | |
| points_diff | 4075,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 26,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 46,1538 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 30,3929 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,6429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4231 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,5925 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,9558 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,3885 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,5462 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,3692 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,1490 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 57,9750 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 49,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 94,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0871 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0732 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7600 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3250 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9686 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 203,3870 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1935 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1550 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 230,7692 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8141 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,5460 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21001
API ID
15141938
Gamdom ID
479628
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21001,
"api_id": 15141938,
"gamdom_id": 479628,
"player1": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
"player2": "Zhizhen Zhang",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-04T08:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0833333333333333,
"p2": 8.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.74
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.945,
"prob_p2": 0.055,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.945,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 8,
"utr_singles": 15.92,
"utr_ranking": 5,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 368,
"utr_singles": 14.78,
"utr_ranking": 113,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.92,
"ranking": 5,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.78,
"ranking": 113,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.951764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.8141176470588235,
"utr_diff": 1.17,
"rank_ratio": 82.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": 4075,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.546153846153828,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 42.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.15384615384616,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 7.545952918413415,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 26,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 4.406719247264253,
"rank_advantage": 405,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.76,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 46.15384615384616,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.3692307692307608,
"p1_surface_matches": 52,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.592500000000001,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0870967741935484,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0731707317073171,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.1490384615384617,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 5,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.955769230769235,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4230769230769231,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.324960429396096,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.968581289509208,
"surface_rank_synergy": 203.38704218142712,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.64285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.388461538461534,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.25,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 57.975,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 230.7692307692308,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 49,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 94,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19346153846153846,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15500000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 30.39285714285714,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}