Alexander Shevchenko vs Raphael Collignon
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
03 Ene 2026, 04:00
03 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Raphael Collignon
Alexander …: 26,5%
Raphael …: 73,5%
¿Por qué Raphael Collignon?
UTR 14,73 vs 14,93
(-0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Raphael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,50 | 1,46 | 40,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,77 | 1,36 | 26,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -12,7%
Raphael …: +12,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking
#97
UTR Rating
14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#123
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
8/23 = 34,8%
Raphael Collignon
Ranking
#72
UTR Rating
14,93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#96
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/32 = 65,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -12,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8763 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1321 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -52,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 28,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -30,8424 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -23,7191 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7188 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 34,7826 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,6250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,0370 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,8889 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3043 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,3122 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,4215 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,0774 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,7609 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,2179 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4891 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -36,1640 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3818 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9123 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,5850 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,3433 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,0730 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1402 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1443 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8082 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1498 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21026
API ID
15306523
Gamdom ID
567425
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21026,
"api_id": 15306523,
"gamdom_id": 567425,
"player1": "Alexander Shevchenko",
"player2": "Raphael Collignon",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-03T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.375,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.46
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.84,
"p2": 1.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2652,
"prob_p2": 0.7348,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7348,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 97,
"utr_singles": 14.73,
"utr_ranking": 123,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 72,
"utr_singles": 14.93,
"utr_ranking": 96,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.625,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.73,
"ranking": 123,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.93,
"ranking": 96,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7882352941176469,
"utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.8762886597938144,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -52,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.7608695652173907,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -49.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 34.78260869565217,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.625,
"utr_advantage": -1.1498140006763609,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 28,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13205972201306637,
"rank_advantage": -12,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -30.842391304347828,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.217934782608701,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.312228260869567,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.38181818181818183,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9122807017543859,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4891304347826084,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.421467391304347,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.30434782608695654,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.584986445744825,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.3432613525249595,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.07303762187039,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.03703703703704,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.888888888888886,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.077445652173921,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.71875,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -36.16400000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14017391304347826,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14425,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -23.719135802469133,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}