Christopher O'Connell vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
03 Ene 2026, 05:10
03 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Christopher O'Connell
Christopher …: 74,6%
Roberto …: 25,5%
¿Por qué Christopher O'Connell?
UTR 14,87 vs 15,32
(-0,56)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Christopher … | Roberto … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,80 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,87 | 1,83 | 53,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,34 | 3,93 | 74,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Christopher …: +26,0%
Roberto …: -26,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Christopher O'Connell
Ranking
#118
UTR Rating
14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking
#102
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/30 = 53,3%
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking
#91
UTR Rating
15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#47
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/14 = 28,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7759 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2538 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -134,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -44,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 24,7619 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,5752 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 33,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,0521 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,9071 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,1143 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,3714 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 11,8571 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,9857 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,6710 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 129,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7333 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5672 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,6456 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8405 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,2841 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0593 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2403 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8871 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,6697 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21028
API ID
15306514
Gamdom ID
567422
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21028,
"api_id": 15306514,
"gamdom_id": 567422,
"player1": "Christopher O'Connell",
"player2": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-03T01:10:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9090909090909092,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.87,
"p2": 1.83
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.88,
"p2": 1.88
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7455,
"prob_p2": 0.2545,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7455,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 118,
"utr_singles": 14.87,
"utr_ranking": 102,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 91,
"utr_singles": 15.32,
"utr_ranking": 47,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 102,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 47,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8870588235294117,
"utr_diff": -0.5599999999999987,
"rank_ratio": 0.7758620689655172,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -134,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.3714285714285808,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 28.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": -3.6697247706421936,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -44,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2537805207760996,
"rank_advantage": -26,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 24.761904761904766,
"bp_converted_diff": 11.857142857142858,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.052142857142854,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7333333333333333,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5671641791044776,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.9857142857142858,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.9071428571428584,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.645643492227904,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.840537111240176,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.284089085884371,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.11428571428572099,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.142857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.671,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 90,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 129,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05933333333333335,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.24028571428571432,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.575163398692817,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}