Christopher O'Connell vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
03 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Christopher O'Connell
Christopher …: 74,6% Roberto …: 25,5%
¿Por qué Christopher O'Connell?
UTR 14,87 vs 15,32 (-0,56) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Christopher … Roberto … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,80 52,4%
Gamdom 1,87 1,83 53,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,34 3,93 74,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Christopher …: +26,0% Roberto …: -26,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Christopher O'Connell
Ranking #118
UTR Rating 14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking #102
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/30 = 53,3%
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking #91
UTR Rating 15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #47
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/14 = 28,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -26,0000
rank_ratio 0,7759
log_rank_ratio -0,2538
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -134,0000
best_rank_diff -44,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 24,7619
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,5752
surface_matches_ratio 2,1429
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 28,5714
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,9412
surface_wr_p2_stable 33,3333
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,0521
first_serve_won_diff -1,9071
second_serve_won_diff 0,1143
bp_saved_diff 3,3714
bp_converted_diff 11,8571
aces_per_match_diff 3,9857
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,6710
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 90,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 129,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7333
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5672
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,6456
serve_consistency_p2 8,8405
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,2841
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0593
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2403
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5600
utr_p1 0,8212
utr_p2 0,8871
utr_advantage -3,6697
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21028
API ID 15306514
Gamdom ID 567422
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21028,
    "api_id": 15306514,
    "gamdom_id": 567422,
    "player1": "Christopher O'Connell",
    "player2": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-03T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9090909090909092,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.87,
      "p2": 1.83
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.88,
      "p2": 1.88
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7455,
    "prob_p2": 0.2545,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7455,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 118,
      "utr_singles": 14.87,
      "utr_ranking": 102,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 91,
      "utr_singles": 15.32,
      "utr_ranking": 47,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.87,
      "ranking": 102,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.32,
      "ranking": 47,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8211764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.8870588235294117,
    "utr_diff": -0.5599999999999987,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7758620689655172,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": -134,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.3714285714285808,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 28.57142857142857,
    "utr_advantage": -3.6697247706421936,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -44,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2537805207760996,
    "rank_advantage": -26,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 24.761904761904766,
    "bp_converted_diff": 11.857142857142858,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.052142857142854,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7333333333333333,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5671641791044776,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.9857142857142858,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.9071428571428584,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.645643492227904,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.840537111240176,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.284089085884371,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.11428571428572099,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.142857142857143,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.671,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 90,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 129,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05933333333333335,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.24028571428571432,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.575163398692817,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}