Ethan Quinn vs Benjamin Bonzi
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
03 Ene 2026, 05:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ethan Quinn
Ethan …: 57,4% Benjamin …: 42,6%
¿Por qué Ethan Quinn?
UTR 14,94 vs 15,19 (-0,34) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ethan … Benjamin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,80 52,4%
Gamdom 1,79 1,91 55,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,74 2,35 57,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Ethan …: +8,9% Benjamin …: -8,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ethan Quinn
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #93
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 26/44 = 59,1%
Benjamin Bonzi
Ranking #106
UTR Rating 15,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #62
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/29 = 51,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 24,0000
rank_ratio 1,3429
log_rank_ratio 0,2948
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 122,0000
best_rank_diff -22,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,3668
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,7045
surface_matches_ratio 1,5172
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,0909
surface_wr_p2 51,7241
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,5152
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1818
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,2250
first_serve_won_diff 4,6696
second_serve_won_diff -0,5386
bp_saved_diff -5,6555
bp_converted_diff 5,3107
aces_per_match_diff 2,0259
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,7340
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 67,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 77,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9189
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8609
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3846
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4167
serve_consistency_p1 13,2291
serve_consistency_p2 8,7703
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,1717
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0669
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0412
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3400
utr_p1 0,8388
utr_p2 0,8788
utr_advantage -2,2222
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21034
API ID 15306521
Gamdom ID 567427
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21034,
    "api_id": 15306521,
    "gamdom_id": 567427,
    "player1": "Ethan Quinn",
    "player2": "Benjamin Bonzi",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-03T01:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9090909090909092,
      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.79,
      "p2": 1.91
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.85,
      "p2": 1.9
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5742,
    "prob_p2": 0.4258,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5742,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 14.94,
      "utr_ranking": 93,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 106,
      "utr_singles": 15.19,
      "utr_ranking": 62,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.724137931034484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.94,
      "ranking": 93,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.19,
      "ranking": 62,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.8788235294117648,
    "utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3428571428571427,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 122,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.655485893416923,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.724137931034484,
    "utr_advantage": -2.2222222222222214,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -22,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2947995402206448,
    "rank_advantage": 24,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4166666666666667,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.3667711598746095,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.310658307210041,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.224952978056422,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.918918918918919,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8608695652173913,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.025862068965517,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.669592476489029,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.229136781206996,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.770340130216322,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.1717207508417413,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.515151515151516,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.5385579937304215,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5172413793103448,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.734000000000009,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 67,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 77,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06690909090909092,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04124137931034488,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.704545454545457,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}