Ethan Quinn vs Benjamin Bonzi
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
03 Ene 2026, 05:50
03 Ene 2026, 05:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ethan Quinn
Ethan …: 57,4%
Benjamin …: 42,6%
¿Por qué Ethan Quinn?
UTR 14,94 vs 15,19
(-0,34)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ethan … | Benjamin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,80 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,79 | 1,91 | 55,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,74 | 2,35 | 57,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ethan …: +8,9%
Benjamin …: -8,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ethan Quinn
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#93
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/44 = 59,1%
Benjamin Bonzi
Ranking
#106
UTR Rating
15,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/29 = 51,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 24,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2948 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 122,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -22,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,3668 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,7045 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5172 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,7241 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,5152 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1818 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,2250 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,6696 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,5386 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,6555 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,3107 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,0259 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,7340 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 67,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 77,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9189 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8609 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3846 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4167 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,2291 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7703 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,1717 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0669 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0412 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8788 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,2222 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21034
API ID
15306521
Gamdom ID
567427
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21034,
"api_id": 15306521,
"gamdom_id": 567427,
"player1": "Ethan Quinn",
"player2": "Benjamin Bonzi",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-03T01:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9090909090909092,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.79,
"p2": 1.91
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.85,
"p2": 1.9
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5742,
"prob_p2": 0.4258,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5742,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 14.94,
"utr_ranking": 93,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 106,
"utr_singles": 15.19,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.724137931034484,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.94,
"ranking": 93,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.19,
"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8788235294117648,
"utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 1.3428571428571427,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 122,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.655485893416923,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.724137931034484,
"utr_advantage": -2.2222222222222214,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -22,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2947995402206448,
"rank_advantage": 24,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4166666666666667,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.3667711598746095,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.310658307210041,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.224952978056422,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.918918918918919,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8608695652173913,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.025862068965517,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.669592476489029,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.229136781206996,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.770340130216322,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.1717207508417413,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.515151515151516,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.5385579937304215,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5172413793103448,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.734000000000009,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 67,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 77,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06690909090909092,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04124137931034488,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.704545454545457,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}