Jacob Fearnley vs Dane Sweeny
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
03 Ene 2026, 05:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jacob Fearnley
Jacob …: 67,7% Dane …: 32,3%
¿Por qué Jacob Fearnley?
UTR 15,30 vs 14,51 (+1,36) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jacob … Dane … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,42 2,65 70,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,48 3,10 67,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Jacob …: -1,0% Dane …: +1,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking #77
UTR Rating 15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #49
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Dane Sweeny
Ranking #182
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 111,0000
rank_ratio 2,5634
log_rank_ratio 0,9413
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 457,0000
best_rank_diff 132,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,9167
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,1930
surface_matches_ratio 2,1333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,2500
surface_wr_p2 53,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,5556
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,6316
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1250
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,7500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,2842
first_serve_won_diff 3,9594
second_serve_won_diff 5,5844
bp_saved_diff 14,1375
bp_converted_diff -1,8750
aces_per_match_diff 3,3146
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 42,8571
momentum_diff -14,8571
weighted_momentum_diff -7,2929
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 60,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 359,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8867
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6250
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,8152
serve_consistency_p2 8,1699
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,7455
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0485
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1443
elite_surface_amplifier 2,9167
UTR
utr_diff 1,3600
utr_p1 0,8894
utr_p2 0,7294
utr_advantage 9,1398
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21035
API ID 15306525
Gamdom ID 567431
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21035,
    "api_id": 15306525,
    "gamdom_id": 567431,
    "player1": "Jacob Fearnley",
    "player2": "Dane Sweeny",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-03T01:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.75
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6771,
    "prob_p2": 0.3229,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6771,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 77,
      "utr_singles": 15.3,
      "utr_ranking": 49,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 182,
      "utr_singles": 14.51,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.3,
      "ranking": 49,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.51,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8894117647058825,
    "utr_p2": 0.7294117647058823,
    "utr_diff": 1.3600000000000012,
    "rank_ratio": 2.563380281690141,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
    "points_diff": 457,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 14.137499999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -14.857142857142858,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": 9.139784946236567,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 132,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.94132681003548,
    "rank_advantage": 111,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.9166666666666643,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.875,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 15,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.284166666666664,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8866995073891626,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.314583333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.75,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.9593749999999943,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.815221984613455,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.169934640522872,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.7455365292701477,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.584375000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.1333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.2928571428571445,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 2.9166666666666643,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 60,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 359,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04849999999999999,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1443333333333333,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.1929824561403546,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}