Jacob Fearnley vs Dane Sweeny
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
03 Ene 2026, 05:40
03 Ene 2026, 05:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jacob Fearnley
Jacob …: 67,7%
Dane …: 32,3%
¿Por qué Jacob Fearnley?
UTR 15,30 vs 14,51
(+1,36)
— Ligera ventaja
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jacob … | Dane … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,42 | 2,65 | 70,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,48 | 3,10 | 67,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jacob …: -1,0%
Dane …: +1,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Dane Sweeny
Ranking
#182
UTR Rating
14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 111,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,5634 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9413 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 457,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 132,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,9167 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,1930 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,6316 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,2842 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,9594 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,5844 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 14,1375 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,8750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3146 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_diff | -14,8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,2929 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 359,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8867 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,8152 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,1699 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,7455 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0485 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1443 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 2,9167 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7294 | |
| utr_advantage | 9,1398 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21035
API ID
15306525
Gamdom ID
567431
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21035,
"api_id": 15306525,
"gamdom_id": 567431,
"player1": "Jacob Fearnley",
"player2": "Dane Sweeny",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-03T01:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.75
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6771,
"prob_p2": 0.3229,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6771,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 49,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 182,
"utr_singles": 14.51,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
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},
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"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 1.3600000000000012,
"rank_ratio": 2.563380281690141,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
"points_diff": 457,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 14.137499999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -14.857142857142858,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": 9.139784946236567,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 132,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.94132681003548,
"rank_advantage": 111,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.9166666666666643,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.875,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.284166666666664,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8866995073891626,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.314583333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.9593749999999943,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.815221984613455,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.169934640522872,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.7455365292701477,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.584375000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.1333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.2928571428571445,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 2.9166666666666643,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 60,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 359,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04849999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1443333333333333,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.1929824561403546,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}