Tristan Schoolkate vs James Duckworth
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
03 Ene 2026, 08:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
James Duckworth
Tristan …: 48,7% James …: 51,3%
¿Por qué James Duckworth?
UTR 14,56 vs 14,78 (+0,21) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tristan … James … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
Gamdom 2,15 1,63 46,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,05 1,95 48,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Tristan …: +2,4% James …: -2,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tristan Schoolkate
Ranking #98
UTR Rating 14,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #153
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 35/61 = 57,4%
James Duckworth
Ranking #88
UTR Rating 14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #119
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 29/50 = 58,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -13,0000
rank_ratio 0,8700
log_rank_ratio -0,1393
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -53,0000
best_rank_diff -49,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,6230
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,4843
surface_matches_ratio 1,2200
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,3770
surface_wr_p2 58,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,9231
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,4074
p1_surface_matches 61,0000
p2_surface_matches 50,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1475
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,7893
first_serve_won_diff -0,3541
second_serve_won_diff -3,1285
bp_saved_diff 1,3544
bp_converted_diff 1,1879
aces_per_match_diff 1,9525
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -42,4540
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 62,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 76,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1554
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5349
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 4,6611
serve_consistency_p2 5,9555
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0868
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0868
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0670
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2100
utr_p1 0,7753
utr_p2 0,7506
utr_advantage 1,4498
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21036
API ID 15306524
Gamdom ID 567421
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21036,
    "api_id": 15306524,
    "gamdom_id": 567421,
    "player1": "Tristan Schoolkate",
    "player2": "James Duckworth",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-03T04:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.15,
      "p2": 1.63
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.16,
      "p2": 1.67
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4874,
    "prob_p2": 0.5126,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5126,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 98,
      "utr_singles": 14.56,
      "utr_ranking": 153,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.377049180327866,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 61,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 88,
      "utr_singles": 14.78,
      "utr_ranking": 119,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.99999999999999,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.56,
      "ranking": 153,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.78,
      "ranking": 119,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7752941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.7505882352941178,
    "utr_diff": 0.20999999999999908,
    "rank_ratio": 0.87,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": -53,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.3544262295081921,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.377049180327866,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "utr_advantage": 1.4497756299620235,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -49,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.13926206733350766,
    "rank_advantage": -13,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.622950819672127,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.1879344262295035,
    "p1_surface_matches": 61,
    "p2_surface_matches": 50,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.7893311475409774,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1554054054054055,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5348837209302325,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.9524590163934423,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.3540983606557546,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14754098360655737,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.661120860292266,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.95547553960548,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.08675341899464353,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.92307692307692,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.407407407407405,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.1284590163934496,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.22,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -42.45400000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 62,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 76,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08677049180327867,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06699999999999995,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.484330484330485,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}