Quentin Halys vs Eliot Spizzirri
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
03 Ene 2026, 10:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Eliot Spizzirri
Quentin …: 33,2% Eliot …: 66,8%
¿Por qué Eliot Spizzirri?
UTR 14,75 vs 15,16 (-0,34) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Quentin … Eliot … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
Gamdom 2,09 1,66 47,8%
IA Fair Odds 3,01 1,50 33,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Quentin …: -7,9% Eliot …: +7,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Quentin Halys
Ranking #83
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #120
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 13/33 = 39,4%
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -2,0000
rank_ratio 0,9780
log_rank_ratio -0,0222
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -3,0000
best_rank_diff 41,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21,9697
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -19,8761
surface_matches_ratio 0,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 39,3939
surface_wr_p2 61,3636
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,5405
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,4167
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 44,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2121
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 17,9135
first_serve_won_diff 7,0265
second_serve_won_diff -0,4841
bp_saved_diff 2,0136
bp_converted_diff -4,0765
aces_per_match_diff 7,2727
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -56,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -46,0550
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 60,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 59,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9620
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9677
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6875
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7391
serve_consistency_p1 5,8094
serve_consistency_p2 7,5988
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,4882
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1041
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1116
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3400
utr_p1 0,8059
utr_p2 0,8459
utr_advantage -2,2636
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21037
API ID 15306515
Gamdom ID 567424
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21037,
    "api_id": 15306515,
    "gamdom_id": 567424,
    "player1": "Quentin Halys",
    "player2": "Eliot Spizzirri",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-03T06:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.09,
      "p2": 1.66
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.17,
      "p2": 1.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3321,
    "prob_p2": 0.6679,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6679,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 83,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 120,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 120,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.8458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.978021978021978,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -3,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.0136363636363726,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -55.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 39.39393939393939,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
    "utr_advantage": -2.263648468708388,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 41,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.022223136784710235,
    "rank_advantage": -2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6875,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.969696969696976,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.076515151515146,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "serve_quality_diff": 17.913484848484842,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9619565217391305,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967741935483871,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 7.272727272727273,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.026515151515142,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.21212121212121213,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.809379541035248,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.598800699786068,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.48823558087620983,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.54054054054054,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.48409090909091645,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -46.05500000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 60,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10406060606060608,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11163636363636364,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.876126126126124,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}