Quentin Halys vs Eliot Spizzirri
Brisbane | Hard | Qualification Round 1
03 Ene 2026, 10:15
03 Ene 2026, 10:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Eliot Spizzirri
Quentin …: 33,2%
Eliot …: 66,8%
¿Por qué Eliot Spizzirri?
UTR 14,75 vs 15,16
(-0,34)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Quentin … | Eliot … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,09 | 1,66 | 47,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,01 | 1,50 | 33,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Quentin …: -7,9%
Eliot …: +7,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Quentin Halys
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#120
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
13/33 = 39,4%
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9780 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0222 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -3,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 41,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21,9697 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -19,8761 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 39,3939 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,5405 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,4167 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2121 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 17,9135 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,0265 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,4841 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,0136 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,0765 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 7,2727 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -56,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -46,0550 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 59,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9620 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9677 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6875 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7391 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8094 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5988 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,4882 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1041 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1116 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8459 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,2636 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21037
API ID
15306515
Gamdom ID
567424
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21037,
"api_id": 15306515,
"gamdom_id": 567424,
"player1": "Quentin Halys",
"player2": "Eliot Spizzirri",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-03T06:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5714285714285714
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.09,
"p2": 1.66
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.17,
"p2": 1.66
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3321,
"prob_p2": 0.6679,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6679,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 120,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 120,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.8458823529411764,
"utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 0.978021978021978,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -3,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.0136363636363726,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -55.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 39.39393939393939,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
"utr_advantage": -2.263648468708388,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 41,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.022223136784710235,
"rank_advantage": -2,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6875,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.969696969696976,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.076515151515146,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"serve_quality_diff": 17.913484848484842,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9619565217391305,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967741935483871,
"aces_per_match_diff": 7.272727272727273,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.026515151515142,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.21212121212121213,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.809379541035248,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.598800699786068,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.48823558087620983,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.54054054054054,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.48409090909091645,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.75,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -46.05500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 60,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 59,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10406060606060608,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11163636363636364,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.876126126126124,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}