Hanna Chang vs Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19 | Hard | Final
05 Ene 2026, 02:00
05 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hanna Chang
Hanna …: 65,2%
Anne-Christine …: 34,8%
¿Por qué Hanna Chang?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hanna … | Anne-Christine … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,36 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 2,85 | 1,31 | 35,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,53 | 2,87 | 65,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hanna …: +33,9%
Anne-Christine …: -33,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hanna Chang
Ranking
#324
UTR Rating
11,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#356
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
1/7 = 14,3%
Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 182,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5723 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4526 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 199,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 331,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 14,2857 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,3152 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 7,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 14,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 26,0140 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,7143 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 43,9714 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 57,3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 42,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 46,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 22,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2857 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,9647 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,2812 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,4651 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5391 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3180 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3835 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21038
API ID
15306498
Gamdom ID
567414
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21038,
"api_id": 15306498,
"gamdom_id": 567414,
"player1": "Hanna Chang",
"player2": "Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 19",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2026-01-04T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.3636363636363638
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.85,
"p2": 1.31
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.99,
"p2": 1.34
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6516,
"prob_p2": 0.3484,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6516,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 324,
"utr_singles": 11.3,
"utr_ranking": 356,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 14.285714285714285,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.3,
"ranking": 356,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.38352941176470584,
"utr_p2": 0.38352941176470584,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.5723270440251573,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 199,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 46.8,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 14.285714285714285,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 331,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.452556715642015,
"rank_advantage": 182,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 14.285714285714285,
"bp_converted_diff": 22.2,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 43.97142857142857,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2857142857142858,
"combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 57.3,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.7142857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.964655888144183,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.281206355435817,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.465095937743071,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 26.01398601398601,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 42.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 7.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5391428571428571,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.31800000000000006,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.315151515151516,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}